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Senators at Panthers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Florida Panthers
▸3
Final/OTTV BSFL, TSN5·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2 in overtime, Anton Lundell scoring at 1:36. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anton Lundell's goal at 1:36 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were OTT 30, FLA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Lundell (1 G), 2. Thomas Chabot (1 G, 1 A), 3. Aaron Ekblad (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Lundell1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT0100102901230
FLAFLA1111901212334

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Ekblad(4)
    C. Verhaeghe (29), S. Reinhart (28)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:19

2nd period

  1. FLA
    B. Montour(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:01

3rd period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot(3)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:36
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(14)
    C. Giroux (32), T. Chabot (15)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:46

Overtime

  1. FLA
    A. Lundell(8)
    M. Tkachuk (45), B. Montour (13)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:36

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:25OTTArtem Zub · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:45OTTTim Stützle · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich2 min
  • 14:12FLAOliver Ekman-Larsson · Holding the stickdrawn by Josh Norris2 min

2nd

  • 12:50FLAOliver Ekman-Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 19:23OTTJakob Chychrun · Holdingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalOTT goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Anton Lundell, OT 1:36 — FLA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.31M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.26C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.18N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.16B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.14A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.12A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.11S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.10E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.10S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.08N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.07R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.04E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.00E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.00K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 3.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsFLA
2.92 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.52 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT46%54%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 3.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsFLA
30
Shots on goal
34
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
33
29
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000-110.05020—24:56
6J. ChychrunD000010.11242—24:18
72T. ChabotD112-120.10230—24:01
2A. ZubD000-110.02522—20:11
57S. PintoC000-150.810406319:13
18T. StützleC101020.311224418:57
28C. GirouxR011-110.000006218:48
7B. TkachukL000040.38100—18:10
91V. TarasenkoR000+220.28210—17:58
21M. JosephR000-100.05140—17:44
19D. BathersonR000-160.67000—15:05
71R. GreigC000000.07110014:56
26E. BrannstromD000+110.02130—13:45
24J. Bernard-DockerD000+130.02120—13:36
9J. NorrisC000010.062006313:06
27P. KellyC000000.00310009:14
12M. KastelicC000000.004006707:37
81D. KubalikL000000.00000—07:13
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(O)34313.9123.24+0.2461:36

Season series

FLA leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).