Skip to content

Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins

FinalTV BSSO, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Boston Bruins 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Svechnikov's goal at 10:55 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.8 to 1.3; shots on goal were CAR 26, BOS 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 22 of 23 (.957); Jeremy Swayman stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Seth Jarvis (1 G), 3. Pyotr Kochetkov (22 saves, .957).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    P. Kochetkov22 saves, .957

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR0421527426
BOSBOS0416013123

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    cradlexG 0.08win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:55
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.23win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:05
  3. BOS
    slapxG 0.16win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:56

3rd period

  1. CAR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-1
    10:14
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(30)SHG
    B. Skjei (33), J. Staal (20)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.06win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-1
    13:22

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·BOS 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:51BOSCharlie McAvoy · Roughingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 14:51CARJake Guentzel · Roughingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min

2nd

  • 0:35BOSMorgan Geekie · Trippingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 2:22BOSBrad Marchand · Kneeingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 14:22CARBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min

3rd

  • 13:12CARJake Guentzel · Hookingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 17:23CARJesper Fast · Trippingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalCAR goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Andrei Svechnikov, 2nd 10:55 — CAR 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McAvoy · Goal · xG 0.16T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.13J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.13J. Lauko · On goal · xG 0.12J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.10T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.10P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.09M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.09D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.08T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.05T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.04T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.01T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.00D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS1 G · 1.3 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsBOS
2.84 G
All situations
1 G1.3
2.43 G
Even strength
1 G0.9
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR77%23%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 1.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsBOS
26
Shots on goal
23
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
33
Hits
40
10
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76B. SkjeiD011+130.22112—20:10
7D. OrlovD000020.29110—20:05
8B. BurnsD000+200.00110—20:01
74J. SlavinD022+210.01400—19:38
20S. AhoC000+110.053005619:37
22B. PesceD000000.02010—19:33
24S. JarvisR101+260.48310—17:41
59J. GuentzelC101010.21104017:19
5J. ChatfieldD000+100.02010—17:07
48J. MartinookL011+130.16300—15:14
37A. SvechnikovR112+240.62300—15:06
86T. TeravainenC101+110.23000014:36
88M. NecasC000-110.02120014:10
92E. KuznetsovC000000.031004413:32
11J. StaalC011+210.102005813:11
23S. NoesenR000010.09310—12:10
18J. DruryC000010.252007511:32
71J. FastR000000.00412—11:18
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)23221.9571.33+0.3360:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).