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Bruins at Hurricanes
NHL

Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Boston Bruins
▸4
Carolina Hurricanes
1
FinalTV BSSO, NESN·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Pastrnak's goal at 7:42 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 2.8; shots on goal were BOS 28, CAR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A), 2. Danton Heinen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jake Guentzel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Heinen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Guentzel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS31206110428
CARCAR0811209129

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    B. Marchand(28)
    M. Geekie (22), C. Coyle (33)
    deflectedxG 0.33win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:12
  2. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(47)
    P. Zacha (35), D. Heinen (18)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:42
  3. BOS
    D. Heinen(16)
    D. Pastrnak (59), P. Zacha (36)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    10:46

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Guentzel(25)PPG
    S. Noesen (21), B. Skjei (30)
    batxG 0.32win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:12

3rd period

  1. BOS
    H. Lindholm(3)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.51win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    17:49

Penalties

BOS 11 PIM·CAR 13 PIM

1st

  • 14:10CARJack Drury · Fightingdrawn by John Beecher5 min
  • 14:10BOSJohn Beecher · Fightingdrawn by Jack Drury5 min

2nd

  • 4:03CARSebastian Aho · Trippingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 7:54CARAndrei Svechnikov · High sticking double minordrawn by Charlie McAvoy4 min
  • 13:41BOSBrandon Carlo · Slashingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 13:52BOSHampus Lindholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 17:55BOSserved by M. Geekie · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 1:22CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Danton Heinen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalBOS goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: David Pastrnak, 1st 7:42 — BOS 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.59J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.32M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.17S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.14S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.11S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.07J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.06S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.06B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.05S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.05B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.05S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.04S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.04J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.04J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.04S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 3.7 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsCAR
2.83 G
All situations
1 G3.7
1.93 G
Even strength
0 G2.7
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS29%71%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 3.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsCAR
28
Shots on goal
29
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/4
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
16
Hits
17
21
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000+210.02020—23:13
27H. LindholmD101+240.53122—21:33
88D. PastrnakR112+240.28100—19:23
18P. ZachaC022+220.170106018:16
29P. WotherspoonD000+210.01140—18:00
39M. GeekieC011+240.322103317:20
25B. CarloD000+210.01002—17:17
13C. CoyleC011+220.150201317:00
63B. MarchandL101+240.58310—16:57
74J. DeBruskL000010.12000—16:52
52A. PeekeD000000.00440—16:47
43D. HeinenL112+210.26000—16:20
48M. GrzelcykD000000.00000—15:26
11T. FredericC000000.000105014:26
21J. van RiemsdykL000000.00200—12:29
70J. BoqvistC000030.37100011:53
94J. LaukoC000000.00020011:09
19J. BeecherC000000.001155710:20
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(W)29281.9663.69+2.6959:48

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).