Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the Boston Bruins 3-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Martinook's goal at 17:33 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 94%. Expected goals were close — CAR 2.7, BOS 2.8; shots on goal were CAR 33, BOS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Spencer Martin stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (2 G), 2. Jordan Martinook (1 G), 3. Trent Frederic (2 A).
Three stars
- ★B. Marchand2 G

- ★★J. Martinook1 G

- ★★★T. Frederic2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-018:04
2nd period
2-011:50
3rd period
2-11:30
2-27:20
3-217:33
Penalties
1st
- 3:01
Jalen Chatfield · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min
- 16:32
Brandon Carlo · Holding the stickdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
- 19:33
Brad Marchand · Hookingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
2nd
- 0:47
Stefan Noesen · Trippingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
- 10:11
Morgan Geekie · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
- 14:51
Brendan Lemieux · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
3rd
- 13:29
Dmitry Orlov · Holdingdrawn by Oskar Steen2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jordan Martinook, 3rd 17:33 — 48% → 94%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.73 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.8
- 2.21 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.1
- 0.42 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 2.64
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 2/3
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 32
- Hits
- 31
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 9
- Giveaways
- 18
- 6
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
