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Oilers at Flames
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Calgary Flames
2
FinalTV SN, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Bouchard's goal at 10:36 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 55% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were EDM 27, CGY 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Jacob Markstrom stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Yegor Sharangovich (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G, 2 A), 3. Calvin Pickard (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    Y. Sharangovich1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. Pickard33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1918210427
CGYCGY0911818235

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(40)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (45), C. McDavid (98)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    19:44

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. Brown(4)
    M. Janmark (8), D. Ryan (7)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    3:13
  2. CGY
    Y. Sharangovich(30)PPG
    A. Kuzmenko (20), J. Huberdeau (37)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:57

3rd period

  1. CGY
    N. Kadri(25)PPG
    Y. Sharangovich (26), A. Kuzmenko (21)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:13
  2. EDM
    E. Bouchard(17)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (46), C. McDavid (99)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:36
  3. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(18)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.74win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:17

Penalties

EDM 14 PIM·CGY 14 PIM

1st

  • 8:44EDMCorey Perry · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 12:17EDMBrett Kulak · Interferencedrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min
  • 15:02EDMEvan Bouchard · Trippingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 15:44CGYYegor Sharangovich · Interferencedrawn by Connor Brown2 min
  • 18:55CGYAndrei Kuzmenko · Trippingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

2nd

  • 3:46EDMEvander Kane · Slashingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min
  • 9:16CGYDryden Hunt · Holding the stickdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 19:47CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Calvin Pickard2 min
  • 19:47EDMMattias Ekholm · Roughingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 19:47CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min

3rd

  • 5:59EDMVincent Desharnais · Slashingdrawn by Andrei Kuzmenko2 min
  • 9:52CGYOliver Kylington · Slashingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 13:00CGYConnor Zary · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 13:49EDMLeon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalEDM goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Evan Bouchard, 3rd 10:36 — EDM 55% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.16N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.11M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.10B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.09B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.08M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.08Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.07D. Miromanov · Missed · xG 0.06O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.06D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.06D. Gilbert · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.04M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.03C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.02D. Miromanov · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.02D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Miromanov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.01D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 2.1 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCGY
3.73 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.11 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.62 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM65%35%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.92 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCGY
27
Shots on goal
35
55%
Faceoffs
45%
2/6
Power play
2/6
14
Penalty minutes
14
13
Hits
17
17
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
9
12
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD101020.03102—23:49
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC123+120.810103822:51
29L. DraisaitlC101+120.360225322:37
25D. NurseD000+120.08120—21:47
5C. CeciD000+120.02120—21:31
97C. McDavidC022030.351105720:39
14M. EkholmD000+120.16032—20:02
18Z. HymanL000020.42100—17:35
19A. HenriqueC000020.5900010014:50
73V. DesharnaisD000+100.00222—14:26
37W. FoegeleL000020.27200—14:23
71R. McLeodC000000.000105712:58
27B. KulakD000000.00022—12:11
10D. RyanC011+100.161005411:16
28C. BrownR101+130.32000—10:57
91E. KaneL000020.09002—09:54
13M. JanmarkC011+210.02000009:29
90C. PerryR000000.00312—09:20
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(W)35332.9432.12+0.1260:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).