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Flames at Oilers
NHL

Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
FinalTV TBS, MAX·Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 5-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 9:38 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.6 to 2.8; shots on goal were CGY 26, EDM 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 28 of 32 (.875); Stuart Skinner stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Hyman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (2 A), 3. MacKenzie Weegar (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Weegar2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1719010226
EDMEDM31401425533

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    B. Kulak(1)
    E. Kane (3), R. Nugent-Hopkins (5)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:19
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(3)
    L. Draisaitl (8)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:38
  3. CGY
    N. Kadri(1)PPG
    M. Weegar (1), J. Huberdeau (3)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:55
  4. EDM
    E. Bouchard(3)
    L. Draisaitl (9), C. McDavid (7)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:06

2nd period

  1. CGY
    A. Greer(1)PPG
    M. Weegar (2), J. Markstrom (1)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    11:28

3rd period

  1. EDM
    V. Desharnais(1)
    E. Kane (4), Z. Hyman (6)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    6:16
  2. EDM
    E. Kane(2)EN
    D. Ryan (1)
    wristxG 0.66Video
    2-5
    19:13

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·EDM 12 PIM

1st

  • 6:46EDMEvander Kane · Boardingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 7:25EDMLeon Draisaitl · Broken stick2 min
  • 12:56EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Holdingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min
  • 13:30EDMDarnell Nurse · Roughingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min
  • 17:55CGYBlake Coleman · Interferencedrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

2nd

  • 9:28EDMVincent Desharnais · Interferencedrawn by A.J. Greer2 min

3rd

  • 7:05CGYDennis Gilbert · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 12:35EDMEvander Kane · Trippingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCGY goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Hyman, 1st 9:38 — EDM 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.66Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.30E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.26E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.23E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.19L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.17W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.16D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.16W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.15C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.15W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.14C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.12W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.11D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.09B. Kulak · Goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.07W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.07C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.06D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · Goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 4.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsEDM
2.82 G
All situations
4 G4.6
1.00 G
Even strength
4 G3.3
1.82 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY32%68%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 3.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsEDM
26
Shots on goal
33
44%
Faceoffs
56%
2/6
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
12
29
Hits
36
12
Blocked shots
15
4
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD000-110.12210—26:11
52M. WeegarD022-230.20030—22:34
28E. LindholmC000-130.171006321:47
11M. BacklundC000-130.092104520:59
88A. MangiapaneL000-310.35300—19:50
16N. ZadorovD000-110.11300—18:25
29D. DubeC000-300.00000018:10
27M. CoronatoR000-130.69000—17:22
91N. KadriC101-110.242002917:09
15D. HuntL000-230.25100—16:58
98I. SolovyovD000-300.00200—16:36
10J. HuberdeauL011-120.1401010016:01
8C. TanevD000-310.01020—15:40
20B. ColemanL000-120.04202—12:42
48D. GilbertD000010.02222—12:09
17Y. SharangovichC000-100.022001409:23
18A. GreerL101-110.35320—08:13
71W. DuehrR000000.00400—07:48
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)32284.8753.95-0.0558:03

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).