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Oilers at Flames
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
Calgary Flames
1
FinalTV CBC, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Gagner's goal at 1:39 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were EDM 32, CGY 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Dan Vladar stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dan Vladar (29 saves, .935), 2. Stuart Skinner (26 saves, .963), 3. Warren Foegele (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Vladar29 saves, .935
  2. ★★
    EDM
    S. Skinner26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    W. Foegele1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM11308211332
CGYCGY0911008127

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    R. McLeod(9)
    W. Foegele (15), V. Desharnais (5)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:03

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Weegar(10)
    B. Coleman (19)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:58

3rd period

  1. EDM
    S. Gagner(5)
    C. Ceci (12), D. Holloway (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:39
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(28)EN
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (29)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.69win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:25

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:24CGYAdam Ruzicka · Interferencedrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 11:44EDMZach Hyman · Interferencedrawn by Noah Hanifin2 min

2nd

  • 14:44EDMEvander Kane · Interferencedrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 18:04CGYMikael Backlund · Trippingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min

3rd

  • 8:04EDMMattias Janmark · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Dan Vladar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalEDM goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Gagner, 3rd 1:39 — EDM 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.16Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.14E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.14E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.12A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.12Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.11A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.10M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.10M. Weegar · Goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.09C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.08M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.08B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.08B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.06C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.06M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.05M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 2.0 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCGY
4.62 G
All situations
1 G2.0
3.02 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM74%26%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.33 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCGY
32
Shots on goal
27
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
32
13
Blocked shots
8
5
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC000020.252004723:14
25D. NurseD000010.07330—22:43
5C. CeciD011020.14220—22:30
2E. BouchardD000+100.04120—21:00
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011030.203005020:34
18Z. HymanL101031.09112—20:00
14M. EkholmD000+140.94110—19:05
29L. DraisaitlC000000.042103518:38
73V. DesharnaisD011+110.01010—17:48
91E. KaneL000040.1531210016:38
27B. KulakD000+120.03210—14:59
37W. FoegeleL011+120.46000—14:54
71R. McLeodC101+110.191004012:46
28C. BrownR000+130.18000—10:42
10D. RyanC000010.241005010:02
55D. HollowayL011+100.0010010009:58
89S. GagnerC101+120.531003309:25
13M. JanmarkC000+110.02102009:13
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)27261.9631.96+0.9659:51

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).