Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3 in overtime, Valeri Nichushkin scoring at 0:30. The Avalanche came back from three goals down. The Canucks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Valeri Nichushkin's goal at 0:30 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 1.4; shots on goal were COL 34, VAN 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.6 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 30 of 34 (.882). Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A), 2. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A

- ★★J. Miller1 G, 1 A

- ★★★N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-10:24
0-22:44
2nd period
0-34:23
1-319:57
3rd period
2-33:19
3-38:43
Overtime
4-30:30
Penalties
1st
- 18:08
Josh Manson · Illegal check to headdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
2nd
- 5:00
Josh Manson · Fightingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov5 min
- 5:00
Nikita Zadorov · Fightingdrawn by Josh Manson5 min
- 8:17
Miles Wood · Roughingdrawn by Sam Lafferty2 min
- 9:24
Quinn Hughes · Interferencedrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
3rd
- 1:45
Elias Pettersson · Slashingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
- 3:04
Ian Cole · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
- 10:11
Joel Kiviranta · Interferencedrawn by Teddy Blueger2 min
- 19:51
Carson Soucy · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Valeri Nichushkin, OT 0:30 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.94 G
- All situations
- 3 G1.4
- 2.52 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.1
- 1.22 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.47 – 1.43
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 21
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 2/4
- Power play
- 0/3
- 11
- Penalty minutes
- 13
- 20
- Hits
- 31
- 2
- Blocked shots
- 22
- 7
- Giveaways
- 7
- 3
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
