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Canucks at Avalanche
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV ALT, SNP·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Riley Tufte's goal at 1:24 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were VAN 29, COL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 2.0 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Riley Tufte (1 G), 2. Jonathan Drouin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Valeri Nichushkin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    R. Tufte1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    J. Drouin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN11111107229
COLCOL2130735525

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    N. Hoglander(6)
    A. Beauvillier (6), S. Lafferty (5)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    16:23
  2. COL
    V. Nichushkin(8)PPG
    M. Rantanen (13), J. Drouin (3)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:37
  3. COL
    J. Drouin(2)
    C. Makar (24), B. Byram (2)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:43

2nd period

  1. VAN
    J. Miller(13)
    Q. Hughes (23), F. Hronek (18)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:04

3rd period

  1. COL
    R. Tufte(1)
    M. Wood (4), R. Colton (3)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:24
  2. COL
    C. Makar(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.30win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-4
    12:38
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(12)EN
    N. MacKinnon (17), V. Nichushkin (9)
    wristxG 0.73win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    16:38

Penalties

VAN 10 PIM·COL 21 PIM

1st

  • 13:29VANIan Cole · Interferencedrawn by Riley Tufte2 min
  • 17:01VANConor Garland · Cross checkingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min

2nd

  • 2:25COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
  • 4:09COLBowen Byram · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:39COLValeri Nichushkin · Trippingdrawn by Thatcher Demko2 min
  • 8:33VANBrock Boeser · Cross checkingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 8:33COLJosh Manson · Cross checkingdrawn by Brock Boeser5 min
  • 8:33COLJosh Manson · Game misconduct10 min
  • 10:25VANAnthony Beauvillier · Interferencedrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 11:42VANTyler Myers · Slashingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalVAN goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Riley Tufte, 3rd 1:24 — COL 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.73C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.30V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.22V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.13R. Tufte · Goal · xG 0.13F. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08F. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.06F. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.04R. Tufte · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 2.7 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCOL
2.22 G
All situations
4 G2.7
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN54%46%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 1.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCOL
29
Shots on goal
25
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/3
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
21
12
Hits
13
23
Blocked shots
13
2
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011-140.13110—27:53
17F. HronekD011-130.02010—26:51
82I. ColeD000-120.04262—20:44
9J. MillerC101-120.120006820:09
40E. PetterssonC000-230.261205018:59
57T. MyersD000000.00212—18:13
6B. BoeserR000-200.00022—17:52
72A. BeauvillierR011020.19032—16:27
47N. JuulsenD000-210.13120—15:20
18S. LaffertyC011+100.003005614:48
96A. KuzmenkoL000-310.10000—14:33
53T. BluegerC000020.150103814:31
65I. MikheyevR000-230.3201010014:03
34P. Di GiuseppeL000020.05100—12:11
21N. HoglanderL101+110.43010—11:42
81D. JoshuaC000010.24100011:10
8C. GarlandR000020.04002—10:34
51M. FriedmanD000+100.00020—05:59
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)24204.8331.98-2.0259:25

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).