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Vancouver Canucks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ALT, SNP·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-1. The Canucks scored first; the Avalanche answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Johansen's goal at 1:35 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 1.5; shots on goal were VAN 25, COL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Johansen (2 G), 2. Alexandar Georgiev (24 saves, .960), 3. J.T. Miller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    R. Johansen2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    A. Georgiev24 saves, .960
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Miller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN1701008125
COLCOL0711129327

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    B. Boeser (26), Q. Hughes (57)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:46

2nd period

  1. COL
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:54

3rd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:35
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.64win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:32

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:35VANArshdeep Bains · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min

2nd

  • 6:24COLRoss Colton · Cross checkingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min
  • 13:44VANJ.T. Miller · High stickingdrawn by Jack Johnson2 min

3rd

  • 13:21COLArtturi Lehkonen · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 16:27VANIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalVAN goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Johansen, 3rd 1:35 — COL 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.63N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.26J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.22J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.19R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.17N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.12J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.11J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.06M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.06D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.02J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01
COL3 G · 3.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCOL
1.51 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN29%71%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.54 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCOL
25
Shots on goal
27
63%
Faceoffs
38%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
26
14
Blocked shots
18
4
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000-110.01220—25:20
43Q. HughesD011-110.03000—24:35
23E. LindholmC000-100.001106920:06
6B. BoeserR011010.02100—19:31
9J. MillerC101010.271026919:24
40E. PetterssonC000-140.391005719:16
57T. MyersD000-100.01030—18:33
24P. SuterC000+120.081105017:00
82I. ColeD000-120.01012—16:22
53T. BluegerC000-130.331206916:14
47N. JuulsenD000000.00110—15:54
91N. ZadorovD000010.05110—15:53
21N. HoglanderL000020.04100—14:12
80A. BainsL000-220.16312—13:21
8C. GarlandR000-120.06000—13:16
65I. MikheyevR000-120.10000—11:30
88N. AmanC000-110.000003307:21
34P. Di GiuseppeL000000.00110—06:55
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)26242.9232.66+0.6659:17

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).