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Coyotes at Avalanche
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
3
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
FinalTV ALT, SCRIPPS·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Devon Toews's goal at 13:25 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were ARI 30, COL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.7 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Devon Toews (1 G), 2. Jack Johnson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    D. Toews1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    J. Johnson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI21515010330
COLCOL1722119437

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    R. Colton(12)
    M. Wood (12), B. Byram (10)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:10
  2. ARI
    M. Dumba(4)
    A. Kerfoot (23), J. McBain (11)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:48
  3. ARI
    L. Crouse(20)PPG
    M. Maccelli (27), J. Moser (18)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:20

2nd period

  1. COL
    J. Johnson(3)
    R. Johansen (9), Z. Parise (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:20
  2. ARI
    L. Cooley(8)
    M. Maccelli (28), M. Dumba (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:52
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(33)
    B. Byram (11), J. Johnson (8)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-3
    10:13

3rd period

  1. COL
    D. Toews(10)
    J. Drouin (22), N. MacKinnon (58)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +36 ptsVideo
    3-4
    13:25

Penalties

ARI 10 PIM·COL 14 PIM

1st

  • 10:58COLMikko Rantanen · Slashingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 15:58COLMiles Wood · Trippingdrawn by Matias Maccelli2 min
  • 18:25COLMikko Rantanen · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min

2nd

  • 1:35ARIAdam Ruzicka · Interferencedrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min
  • 7:47COLNathan MacKinnon · Trippingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 10:13ARIserved by A. Ruzicka · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 12:35ARIAdam Ruzicka · High sticking double minordrawn by Nathan MacKinnon4 min

3rd

  • 5:03COLMiles Wood · High stickingdrawn by Michael Kesselring2 min
  • 15:04ARILawson Crouse · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 15:04COLRoss Colton · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 18:39COLArtturi Lehkonen · Trippingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalARI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Devon Toews, 3rd 13:25 — COL 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.17N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.11Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.10C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.10M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.10S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.10A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.07R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.05J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03J. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.03B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 3.3 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCOL
2.63 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.22 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
1.41 G
Power play
0 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI37%63%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCOL
30
Shots on goal
37
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/6
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
14
8
Hits
17
13
Blocked shots
9
3
Giveaways
4
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
50S. DurziD000020.09030—24:35
90J. MoserD011000.04100—24:17
9C. KellerR000-250.3800010020:52
24M. DumbaD112020.43430—20:48
29B. HaytonC000-240.470003519:32
67L. CrouseL101-160.55112—18:30
63M. MaccelliL022-100.00000—18:10
11D. GuentherR000+130.180005018:06
17N. BjugstadC000030.180105317:36
5M. KesselringD000-210.01010—15:58
8N. SchmaltzC000-110.080105015:48
92L. CooleyC101+130.130004015:14
15A. KerfootC011000.00010014:11
22J. McBainC011+100.060205011:17
3J. BrownD000000.00100—10:53
4J. VälimäkiD000-200.00000—10:40
16J. ZuckerL000-100.01100—08:49
83A. RuzickaC000-100.000063306:41
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)37334.8923.31-0.6958:03

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).