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Islanders at Capitals
NHL

New York Islanders at Washington Capitals

Final/OTTV TNT, MAX·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 3-2 in overtime, Dylan Strome scoring at 1:41. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Strome's goal at 1:41 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.1 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYI 32, WSH 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Darcy Kuemper stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Dylan Strome (1 G), 2. Darcy Kuemper (30 saves, .938), 3. Semyon Varlamov (33 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Strome1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    D. Kuemper30 saves, .938
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov33 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI071911600232
WSHWSH1141120812336

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:56

2nd period

  1. NYI
    wrap-aroundxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:03
  2. WSH
    slapxG 0.03win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:12

3rd period

  1. NYI
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +33 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:02

Overtime

  1. WSH
    D. Strome(13)PPG
    snapxG 0.04win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:41

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:57WSHBeck Malenstyn · Trippingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 3:32NYIPierre Engvall · Hookingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

2nd

  • 6:36NYIKyle Palmieri · Holdingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min
  • 9:45WSHNicolas Aube-Kubel · Hookingdrawn by Mike Reilly2 min
  • 15:00WSHNick Jensen · High stickingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min

OT

  • 0:43NYINoah Dobson · Trippingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Strome, OT 1:41 — WSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.42T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.18I. Miroshnichenko · Missed · xG 0.18H. Lapierre · Goal · xG 0.18T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.15T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.09J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.09N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08H. Lapierre · Missed · xG 0.08B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.08A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.07B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.07A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.07M. Phillips · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.05B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.04D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.03I. Miroshnichenko · On goal · xG 0.03M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.03A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · Goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.01N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.01I. Miroshnichenko · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.01I. Miroshnichenko · Missed · xG 0.01I. Miroshnichenko · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 3.1 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsWSH
2.12 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI32%68%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsWSH
32
Shots on goal
36
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
17
19
Blocked shots
17
3
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD000+220.02112—28:19
28A. RomanovD000+220.03240—24:18
13M. BarzalC000+100.15010021:53
14B. HorvatC000+140.222004619:51
2M. ReillyD000-220.07110—18:21
25S. AhoD000-230.07020—18:04
18P. EngvallL000-110.03022—17:31
21K. PalmieriC000-220.07202017:30
29B. NelsonC000-140.610004616:48
27A. LeeL101+110.37210—16:36
44J. PageauC000-140.291005716:20
41R. BortuzzoD000020.03320—15:13
53C. CizikasC000+110.040006313:55
4S. BolducD000020.03010—12:14
10S. HolmstromR000-100.00010—11:57
26O. WahlstromR000010.04100—11:39
20H. FaschingR101+110.05010—11:07
15C. ClutterbuckR011+100.00420—09:35
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(O)36333.9173.15+0.1561:33

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).