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Hurricanes at Panthers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
Florida Panthers
▸4
FinalFLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 19:55 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 57% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were CAR 39, FLA 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 20 of 24 (.833); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 36 of 39 (.923). Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (2 G), 2. Sergei Bobrovsky (36 saves, .923), 3. Ryan Lomberg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky36 saves, .923
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    R. Lomberg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR19117113339
FLAFLA291916424

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Duclair(3)
    A. Barkov (9), C. Verhaeghe (9)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:41
  2. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(8)PPG
    A. Ekblad (5), G. Forsling (4)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    10:23
  3. CAR
    P. Stastny(4)
    B. Skjei (2), J. Martinook (8)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:03

2nd period

  1. CAR
    T. Teravainen(1)
    B. Skjei (3), J. Kotkaniemi (4)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    2:51
  2. FLA
    R. Lomberg(1)
    C. White (2), E. Staal (2)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    2-3
    9:49

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Fast(6)
    J. Martinook (9), J. Chatfield (3)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +40 pts
    3-3
    16:38
  2. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(9)PPG
    A. Barkov (10), S. Reinhart (4)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +43 pts
    3-4
    19:55

Penalties

CAR 10 PIM·FLA 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:27CARBrent Burns · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 1:27CARJordan Martinook · Cross checkingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 1:27FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 5:11FLARadko Gudas · Interferencedrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 8:30CARSebastian Aho · Interferencedrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 10:42FLAEetu Luostarinen · Interferencedrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min

2nd

  • 15:45CARBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 18:17FLACarter Verhaeghe · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min

3rd

  • 4:27FLARadko Gudas · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 19:03CARJordan Staal · Trippingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCAR goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 3rd 19:55 — FLA 57% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.26A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.18A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.17M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.17A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.16M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.16R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.15S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.15A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.14C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.13S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.12S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.12R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.12R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.11M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.11S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.09A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.06S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.06S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.06E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.04M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 3.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsFLA
3.23 G
All situations
4 G3.5
2.43 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.70 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR43%57%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.01 – 3.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsFLA
39
Shots on goal
24
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/4
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
33
Hits
22
12
Blocked shots
24
9
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22B. PesceD000030.09020—25:51
76B. SkjeiD022+220.311130—25:40
8B. BurnsD000050.11124—24:55
24S. JarvisR000020.1011010020:57
41S. GostisbehereD000-130.13010—20:53
11J. StaalC000010.015025219:37
20S. AhoC000050.274023819:15
88M. NecasC000030.2420010017:46
48J. MartinookL022+120.01112—17:45
71J. FastR101030.33210—17:16
86T. TeravainenC101030.17000016:56
5J. ChatfieldD011+100.13000—15:12
26P. StastnyC101+110.152104814:31
28M. MacEachernL000+100.14200—13:13
18J. DruryC000040.861005010:44
82J. KotkaniemiC011010.021005008:20
23S. NoesenR000010.17000—03:43
74J. SlavinD000000.00000—00:46
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)24204.8333.52-0.4859:55

Series

FLA leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).