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Panthers at Hurricanes
NHL

Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸3
Carolina Hurricanes
2
Final/4OTPNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2 in the 4th overtime, Matthew Tkachuk scoring at 19:47. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 19:47 of the fourth overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 5.5 to 4.2; shots on goal were FLA 60, CAR 65. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 63 of 65 (.969), 3.5 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 57 of 60 (.950), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G), 2. Sergei Bobrovsky (63 saves, .969), 3. Seth Jarvis (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky63 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OT3OT4OTT
FLAFLA010280205010011114360
CARCAR11205114070100809265

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(5)PPG
    S. Aho (6), B. Burns (7)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    19:48

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(3)
    A. Duclair (5), C. Verhaeghe (8)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    15:28
  2. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(6)
    A. Duclair (6), A. Barkov (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    17:43

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Noesen(4)PPG
    S. Jarvis (5), M. Necas (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    3:47

4OT overtime

  1. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(6)
    S. Bennett (5)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +52 pts
    3-2
    19:47

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:17FLASam Bennett · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:44FLAMarc Staal · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 18:23FLAAaron Ekblad · Cross checkingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min

2nd

  • 3:33CARBrett Pesce · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 11:07CARMartin Necas · Slashingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min

3rd

  • 2:48FLASam Bennett · Boardingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min

OT

  • 3:11CARBrent Burns · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 11:51FLAAnthony Duclair · High stickingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min

4OT

  • 2:17FLACarter Verhaeghe · Hookingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalFLA goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 4OT 19:47 — FLA 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.22S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.19S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.17M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.16S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.16S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.16S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.15M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.15M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.14S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.14J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.14S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.13S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.12J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.12J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.12S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.11T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.11S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.11S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.10J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.10J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.10S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.09B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.09J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.08S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.08J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.07J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.06B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.06S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.00J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 5.5 xG · 107 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCAR
4.23 G
All situations
2 G5.5
4.03 G
Even strength
0 G3.9
0.20 G
Power play
2 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 194 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA34%66%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.12 – 5.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCAR
60
Shots on goal
65
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
46
Hits
35
38
Blocked shots
39
12
Giveaways
16
11
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000+380.28130—57:56
42G. ForslingD000+160.26040—55:41
5A. EkbladD000+120.04412—52:10
23C. VerhaegheC112+260.45102044:59
18M. StaalD000+120.05262—44:44
16A. BarkovC112+230.305005544:20
13S. ReinhartC000020.222403940:58
19M. TkachukL101+130.22300—40:31
9S. BennettC011+140.401243338:33
15A. LundellC000020.130205237:30
7R. GudasD000020.031260—36:23
10A. DuclairL022+281.03012—35:51
27E. LuostarinenC000020.15510033:28
21N. CousinsC000+120.265201731:52
28J. MahuraD000030.05120—29:08
12E. StaalC000020.151205024:04
6C. WhiteC000010.081104421:37
94R. LombergL000020.05210—18:46
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)65632.9695.45+3.45139:47

Series

FLA leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).