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Hurricanes at Panthers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
0
Florida Panthers
▸1
FinalFLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 1-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 10:05 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 58% to 71%. Expected goals were close — CAR 2.0, FLA 1.9; shots on goal were CAR 32, FLA 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 16 of 17 (.941), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Sam Reinhart (1 G), 3. Sam Bennett (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR07014011032
FLAFLA0101502117

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(7)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (12), S. Bennett (7)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    10:05

Penalties

CAR 10 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:36FLAAaron Ekblad · Roughingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 9:36CARStefan Noesen · Roughingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 14:55FLARyan Lomberg · High stickingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
  • 17:51CARJordan Staal · Interferencedrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

2nd

  • 9:57CARBrady Skjei · Slashingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 11:22CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 13:02CARJordan Martinook · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 20:00FLANick Cousins · Roughingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCAR goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, 2nd 10:05 — FLA 58% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.14G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.13E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.13C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.12G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.11C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.11A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.11S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.05S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.04S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.00R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA1 G · 1.9 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsFLA
2.00 G
All situations
1 G1.9
2.00 G
Even strength
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR53%47%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 1.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsFLA
32
Shots on goal
17
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/1
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
23
6
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD000010.03110—24:02
22B. PesceD000050.17020—22:51
76B. SkjeiD000010.05222—21:15
20S. AhoC000050.523024720:45
74J. SlavinD000050.09010—20:10
88M. NecasC000020.18100019:17
41S. GostisbehereD000010.01130—17:21
48J. MartinookL000010.01102—16:38
11J. StaalC000010.142026816:19
24S. JarvisR000020.12010—15:48
23S. NoesenR000020.29102—14:53
71J. FastR000010.21410—14:47
26P. StastnyC000000.001108013:42
5J. ChatfieldD000020.02200—12:36
18J. DruryC000000.01110011:45
86T. TeravainenC000010.04200011:37
28M. MacEachernL000010.06110—11:03
82J. KotkaniemiC000010.050004010:25
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)17161.9411.88+0.8856:38

Series

FLA leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).