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Hurricanes at Devils
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
New Jersey Devils
1
FinalPrudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 6-1. The Devils scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Necas's goal at 7:26 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.7 to 1.5; shots on goal were CAR 29, NJD 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 12 of 17 (.706), 3.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Martinook (1 G, 2 A), 2. Martin Necas (2 G), 3. Brent Burns (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    M. Necas2 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Burns1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR19510010629
NJDNJD180905122

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes(6)
    T. Meier (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:55
  2. CAR
    M. Necas(3)
    J. Martinook (5), J. Slavin (4)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    17:40

2nd period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(4)
    B. Pesce (4), J. Staal (5)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    7:26
  2. CAR
    B. Pesce(2)
    J. Drury (3), J. Staal (6)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    9:51
  3. CAR
    J. Fast(4)
    J. Chatfield (2)
    backhandxG 0.31win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    11:07
  4. CAR
    B. Burns(1)
    J. Kotkaniemi (2), J. Martinook (6)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +4 pts
    5-1
    12:46
  5. CAR
    J. Martinook(3)
    B. Burns (6)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +1 pts
    6-1
    19:36

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:57NJDErik Haula · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 4:50NJDTimo Meier · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Frederik Andersen2 min
  • 15:11CARBrady Skjei · Interferencedrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

3rd

  • 4:34CARStefan Noesen · Holding the stickdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 5:55NJDErik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCAR goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Martin Necas, 2nd 7:26 — CAR 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.22O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.18T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.12M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.09J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.07M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.07E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.06J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.00J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD1 G · 1.5 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNJD
2.76 G
All situations
1 G1.5
2.36 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR72%28%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 1.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNJD
29
Shots on goal
22
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
32
9
Blocked shots
16
2
Giveaways
26
13
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD112+210.07100—24:06
74J. SlavinD011+300.01110—20:34
24S. JarvisR000030.24510—20:24
20S. AhoC000010.032106020:10
22B. PesceD112+120.13010—19:28
76B. SkjeiD000+210.01202—19:02
23S. NoesenR000030.264122518:18
88M. NecasC202+330.59110017:04
41S. GostisbehereD000+100.00010—16:36
18J. DruryC011+100.03200016:29
5J. ChatfieldD011+110.01010—15:51
82J. KotkaniemiC011+320.14100013:50
26P. StastnyC000000.061005013:05
11J. StaalC022+230.321003612:42
28M. MacEachernL000+120.07100—12:39
21D. StepanC000020.181108812:10
48J. MartinookL123+330.11200—11:58
71J. FastR101+220.41500—11:34
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)22211.9551.50+0.5060:00

Series

CAR leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).