New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 5-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 14:43 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were NJD 18, CAR 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 10 of 11 (.909); Frederik Andersen stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brett Pesce (1 G), 2. Jordan Martinook (2 A), 3. Frederik Andersen (17 saves, .944).
Three stars
- ★B. Pesce1 G

- ★★J. Martinook2 A

- ★★★F. Andersen17 saves, .944

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-19:41
0-214:43
2nd period
0-31:55
1-35:02
3rd period
1-410:17
1-516:44
Penalties
1st
- 4:06
Brent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
- 5:02
Erik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min
- 18:17
Michael McLeod · Trippingdrawn by Derek Stepan2 min
2nd
- 13:05
Nico Hischier · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 15:34
Jordan Martinook · High stickingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Seth Jarvis, 1st 14:43 — 67% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.61 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.7
- 1.61 G
- Even strength
- 4 G1.5
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.8
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 2.47
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 18
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 34
- Hits
- 37
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 12
- Giveaways
- 14
- 7
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Series
CAR leads 4-1
1@
5this game
1@
6Final
4@
8Final
6@
1Final
2@
3OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
