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Hurricanes at Devils
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
4
New Jersey Devils
▸8
FinalPrudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Carolina Hurricanes 8-4. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Hughes's goal at 10:55 of the first period, which took the Devils' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals were close — CAR 2.7, NJD 2.6; shots on goal were CAR 30, NJD 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.3 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (2 G, 2 A), 2. Nico Hischier (1 G, 1 A), 3. Timo Meier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Hughes2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    T. Meier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR0621529430
NJDNJD3921639834

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    T. Meier(1)
    J. Hughes (3), D. Mercer (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:58
  2. NJD
    J. Hughes(4)
    B. Smith (1), D. Mercer (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    10:55
  3. NJD
    M. McLeod(2)SHG
    N. Hischier (6), J. Marino (3)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    0-3
    12:31

2nd period

  1. NJD
    N. Hischier(1)
    J. Bratt (4), O. Palat (4)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    0:53
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(5)
    S. Jarvis (4), J. Slavin (3)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    2:00
  3. NJD
    D. Severson(1)
    L. Hughes (1), J. Hughes (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    1-5
    5:33
  4. CAR
    J. Martinook(2)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    12:18

3rd period

  1. NJD
    M. Wood(2)
    J. Marino (4), V. Vanecek (1)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    3:08
  2. NJD
    J. Hughes(5)
    D. Mercer (4), J. Siegenthaler (2)
    wristxG 0.08
    2-7
    5:17
  3. CAR
    J. Staal(2)SHG
    J. Martinook (4)
    wristxG 0.13
    3-7
    7:21
  4. CAR
    S. Jarvis(4)SHG
    J. Fast (3)
    snapxG 0.19
    4-7
    8:11
  5. NJD
    O. Palat(3)PPG
    J. Bratt (5), L. Hughes (2)
    slapxG 0.15
    4-8
    10:47

Penalties

CAR 15 PIM·NJD 11 PIM

1st

  • 12:20NJDTomas Tatar · High stickingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

2nd

  • 11:30CARSebastian Aho · Cross checkingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 11:30CARSebastian Aho · Roughingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 11:30NJDJack Hughes · Roughingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 12:18NJDDougie Hamilton · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Jordan Martinook0 min
  • 18:21NJDMichael McLeod · High stickingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min

3rd

  • 7:13CARStefan Noesen · Roughingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min
  • 7:13CARStefan Noesen · Fightingdrawn by Erik Haula5 min
  • 7:13NJDErik Haula · Fightingdrawn by Stefan Noesen5 min
  • 8:43CARBrent Burns · Slashingdrawn by Luke Hughes2 min
  • 9:09CARJaccob Slavin · Interferencedrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCAR goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Hughes, 1st 10:55 — NJD 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.17T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.17O. Palat · Goal · xG 0.15M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.13M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.13D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.12J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.10D. Severson · Goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.10N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.08N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.08T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.08J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.06O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.06M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.04K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.03N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.02D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD8 G · 2.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNJD
2.74 G
All situations
8 G2.6
1.82 G
Even strength
6 G2.0
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.32 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR52%48%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNJD
30
Shots on goal
34
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
1/4
15
Penalty minutes
11
46
Hits
33
18
Blocked shots
13
2
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD000+120.09112—22:44
74J. SlavinD011+220.11102—21:57
22B. PesceD000-420.04130—20:03
76B. SkjeiD000-410.01710—19:27
41S. GostisbehereD000-120.04020—16:55
18J. DruryC000-130.1140010016:35
88M. NecasC000-320.30110016:31
24S. JarvisR112020.213205016:01
82J. KotkaniemiC000-410.022105615:59
11J. StaalC101020.205103615:46
5J. ChatfieldD000-100.00620—15:08
20S. AhoC101-110.191043314:55
23S. NoesenR000-100.273178014:28
21D. StepanC000020.122002914:08
71J. FastR011-230.17320—13:57
48J. MartinookL112-220.5130010013:40
13J. PuljujarviR000020.05310—12:30
26P. StastnyC000010.230002511:42
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(L)22184.8181.69-2.3139:07
31F. Andersen1284.6670.91-3.0920:53

Series

CAR leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).