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Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NBCSCH, BSSW·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colin Miller's goal at 18:59 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 64% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.5 to 1.4; shots on goal were DAL 33, CHI 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 17 of 18 (.944); Alex Stalock stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joe Pavelski (1 G), 2. Tyler Seguin (1 G), 3. Jake Oettinger (17 saves, .944).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Pavelski1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger17 saves, .944

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL29114110433
CHICHI040618118

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:45
  2. DAL
    C. Miller(4)PPG
    E. Dadonov (22), M. Domi (35)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    18:59

2nd period

  1. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    11:24

3rd period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +2 pts
    4-0
    7:04
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    10:33

Penalties

DAL 7 PIM·CHI 23 PIM

1st

  • 17:00CHIConnor Murphy · Trippingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min

2nd

  • 12:45CHIserved by A. Athanasiou · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 0:59CHITaylor Raddysh · High stickingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 6:30DALJoel Kiviranta · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Raddysh2 min
  • 11:45CHIAlex Stalock · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 16:23CHIAlex Stalock · Game misconduct10 min
  • 16:29CHIConnor Murphy · Fightingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea5 min
  • 16:29DALTy Dellandrea · Fightingdrawn by Connor Murphy5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalDAL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Colin Miller, 1st 18:59 — DAL 64% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Katchouk · Missed · xG 0.17I. Mitchell · On goal · xG 0.15T. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.15L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.13J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.13A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.09N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.08L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.07J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.06A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.06W. Kaiser · Missed · xG 0.03W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.03A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.02T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.02A. Bjork · On goal · xG 0.02M. Entwistle · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.00A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI1 G · 1.4 xG · 24 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCHI
2.54 G
All situations
1 G1.4
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL74%26%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 1.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCHI
33
Shots on goal
18
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/4
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
23
8
Hits
23
8
Blocked shots
12
8
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000020.10000—22:41
2J. HakanpääD011+150.10200—20:22
20R. SuterD011+100.01010—20:12
23E. LindellD011+100.01000—19:26
16J. PavelskiC101+120.170104417:14
18M. DomiC011+120.3100010017:14
21J. RobertsonL000+140.37000—17:14
24R. HintzC000+150.3001010017:06
91T. SeguinC101+130.281002017:04
53W. JohnstonC000-120.190005716:41
6C. MillerD101010.05110—16:25
63E. DadonovL011-110.01000—16:09
12R. FaksaC011+110.120105615:06
14J. BennL000-110.070106014:49
44J. HanleyD011+100.00000—13:41
25J. KivirantaL000000.00302—13:09
10T. DellandreaC011+110.18025012:42
11L. GlendeningC101+130.281007811:45
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)18171.9441.35+0.3559:00

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).