Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars
Recap
written from the game dataThe Chicago Blackhawks beat the Dallas Stars 4-3. The Blackhawks came back from three goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Domi's goal at 4:13 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were CHI 23, DAL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jaxson Stauber stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Jake Oettinger stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Max Domi (2 G, 1 A), 2. Patrick Kane (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jamie Benn (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-112:58
0-214:17
2nd period
0-34:33
1-310:10
2-315:24
3-318:05
3rd period
4-34:13
Penalties
1st
- 6:11
Jason Dickinson · Trippingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
2nd
- 4:27
Jake McCabe · Slashingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
- 7:44
Brett Seney · Trippingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
- 8:27
Jamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
3rd
- 9:51
Roope Hintz · Slashingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Max Domi, 3rd 4:13 — 48% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.44 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.0
- 2.23 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.8
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 2.86
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 17
- Hits
- 13
- 22
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 6
- Giveaways
- 8
- 7
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
