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Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars

FinalTV BSSWX, NBCSCH+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-4. The Stars came back from three goals down. The Blackhawks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Radek Faksa's goal at 18:27 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 52% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.8 to 2.8; shots on goal were CHI 31, DAL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 33 of 38 (.868), 1.8 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Radek Faksa (1 G), 2. Jamie Benn (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jason Robertson (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Faksa1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI01131515431
DALDAL14011524639

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    13:55

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:22
  2. CHI
    M. Domi (9), C. Jones (7)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    13:53
  3. CHI
    pokexG 0.27win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    16:53

3rd period

  1. CHI
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    9:37
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(9)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    10:15
  3. DAL
    snapxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    4-3
    13:58
  4. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +38 pts
    4-4
    14:12
  5. DAL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +42 pts
    4-5
    18:27
  6. DAL
    wristxG 0.89win prob +5 pts
    4-6
    19:51

Penalties

CHI 9 PIM·DAL 9 PIM

1st

  • 2:03DALJani Hakanpää · Trippingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 5:54DALEsa Lindell · Hookingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min
  • 9:38CHIJarred Tinordi · Fightingdrawn by Jani Hakanpää5 min
  • 9:38DALJani Hakanpää · Fightingdrawn by Jarred Tinordi5 min
  • 16:14CHIserved by A. Athanasiou · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 9:50CHIMax Domi · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCHI goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Radek Faksa, 3rd 18:27 — DAL 52% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.89R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.71J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.27T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.22J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.17J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.16M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.14R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.13J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.13M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.12T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.12J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.10J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.08J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.08R. Faksa · Goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.07J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.06L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.06J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.05T. Dellandrea · Goal · xG 0.05R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.05R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.04J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.04J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.02L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL6 G · 4.8 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsDAL
2.84 G
All situations
5 G4.8
2.44 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI42%58%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 3.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsDAL
31
Shots on goal
39
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
13
Hits
23
30
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD101-130.10020—21:12
5C. MurphyD101+140.43030—20:54
23P. KurashevC000-200.10000020:00
88P. KaneR011040.14010—19:25
8J. JohnsonD011020.10160—19:15
19J. ToewsC011-110.050207019:10
13M. DomiC112+160.470123319:05
25J. TinordiD011+100.00245—18:06
16J. KhairaL000010.0611010018:02
6J. McCabeD011-100.00120—17:13
89A. AthanasiouC101+120.26020016:19
11T. RaddyshR000-100.01120—16:04
82C. JonesD011-110.08110—15:56
43C. BlackwellC011010.061105015:29
17J. DickinsonC000-130.741204715:23
58M. EntwistleR000-110.05200—10:40
52R. JohnsonC000-110.03200009:10
24S. LaffertyC000010.070003307:07
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)38335.8683.21-1.7959:05

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).