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Islanders at Penguins
NHL

New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸4
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, MSGSN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-2. The Penguins scored first; the Islanders answered. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 10:15 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.1 to 3.3; shots on goal were NYI 32, PIT 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 44 of 46 (.957), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Brock Nelson (2 G), 2. Ilya Sorokin (44 saves, .957), 3. Anders Lee (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Nelson2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin44 saves, .957
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0711738432
PITPIT11911809246

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(24)
    S. Crosby (43), R. Rakell (19)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:12

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(25)
    Z. Parise (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:19
  2. PIT
    J. Zucker(15)PPG
    J. Petry (16), K. Kapanen (13)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    12:26

3rd period

  1. NYI
    B. Horvat(35)
    H. Fasching (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +29 pts
    2-2
    8:34
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(22)
    M. Martin (10), B. Horvat (25)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +33 pts
    3-2
    10:15
  3. NYI
    B. Nelson(26)EN
    Z. Parise (9)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    19:35

Penalties

NYI 32 PIM·PIT 30 PIM

1st

  • 10:33NYISebastian Aho · High stickingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

2nd

  • 2:21NYIHudson Fasching · Trippingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 10:38NYIZach Parise · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 13:59PITBrock McGinn · Hookingdrawn by Arnaud Durandeau2 min
  • 17:15PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Ross Johnston2 min
  • 17:15NYIMatt Martin · Roughingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 17:15NYIRoss Johnston · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 17:15NYIRoss Johnston · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:15NYIRoss Johnston · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 17:15PITJason Zucker · Roughingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min
  • 17:15PITJason Zucker · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:15PITJason Zucker · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ross Johnston2 min
  • 17:15NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 17:15PITKris Letang · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
  • 17:15NYIRyan Pulock · Roughingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 17:15PITMarcus Pettersson · Roughingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 17:15NYIBrock Nelson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min
  • 17:15PITJake Guentzel · Roughingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 18:43PITBrock McGinn · Hookingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

3rd

  • 3:53NYIScott Mayfield · Interferencedrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 3:53PITJake Guentzel · Holding the stickdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 3:53NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 10:52PITKris Letang · Interferencedrawn by Arnaud Durandeau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNYI goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 3rd 10:15 — NYI 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.36J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.29S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.23E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.20S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.16T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.16J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.15C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.14J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.14B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.14J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.14B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.12T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.08B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.04D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.04D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.03K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.01T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01
PIT2 G · 4.1 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsPIT
3.33 G
All situations
2 G4.1
2.23 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI33%67%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.83 – 3.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsPIT
32
Shots on goal
46
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/3
Power play
1/4
32
Penalty minutes
30
29
Hits
30
15
Blocked shots
23
3
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14B. HorvatC112+120.201007022:05
21K. PalmieriC000+220.40300021:29
3A. PelechD000+120.02120—21:03
6R. PulockD000010.03012—20:47
25S. AhoD000+300.03132—20:24
8N. DobsonD000+210.07300—18:57
27A. LeeL101030.43300—18:44
11Z. PariseL022+240.51132—18:37
24S. MayfieldD000000.02106—18:31
53C. CizikasC000030.183107117:57
29B. NelsonC202+250.640125517:35
28A. RomanovD000010.05410—16:10
16A. DurandeauL000+140.56210—14:09
17M. MartinL011+130.05312—13:41
20H. FaschingR011+110.02202—12:54
10S. HolmstromR000-100.04000—08:50
18A. AndreoffC000000.00110005:45
32R. JohnstonL000000.000014—04:34
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)46442.9574.12+2.1260:00

Season series

NYI leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).