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Penguins at Islanders
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
4
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-4. The Islanders came back from two goals down. The Penguins led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Parise's goal at 17:17 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were PIT 44, NYI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.6 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 40 of 44 (.909). Three stars: 1. Brock Nelson (2 G, 1 A), 2. Anders Lee (2 G, 1 A), 3. Zach Parise (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Nelson2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Lee2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    Z. Parise1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT11831907444
NYINYI18210210528

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(25)
    P. Joseph (12), C. Ruhwedel (3)
    wristxG 0.66win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:00
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(20)
    M. Barzal (36)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:56

2nd period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell(20)
    J. Guentzel (27), K. Letang (17)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:53
  2. PIT
    J. Zucker(14)
    P. Joseph (13), C. Ruhwedel (4)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    5:35
  3. NYI
    B. Nelson(23)
    S. Mayfield (10), A. Romanov (16)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    14:25
  4. PIT
    R. Rakell(21)
    S. Crosby (42), M. Pettersson (14)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    18:57
  5. NYI
    A. Lee(21)
    M. Barzal (37), S. Aho (12)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    19:32

3rd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(24)PPG
    N. Dobson (23), A. Lee (18)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +23 pts
    4-4
    5:01
  2. NYI
    Z. Parise(15)
    B. Nelson (31), K. Palmieri (9)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +41 pts
    4-5
    17:17

Penalties

PIT 4 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

2nd

  • 10:08PITPierre-Olivier Joseph · Holding the stickdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 16:44NYIMathew Barzal · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

3rd

  • 4:20PITPierre-Olivier Joseph · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalPIT goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Parise, 3rd 17:17 — NYI 52% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.20B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.18Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.17A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.14Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.13K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.10B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.09C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.09M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.09B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.06B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.03H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.01M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI5 G · 2.4 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYI
3.94 G
All situations
5 G2.4
3.94 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT73%27%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.74 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYI
44
Shots on goal
28
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
19
Hits
29
14
Blocked shots
17
14
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD000-230.04110—23:24
58K. LetangD011-110.01210—22:36
8B. DumoulinD000020.19010—22:11
28M. PetterssonD011-100.00010—21:30
87S. CrosbyC112+140.762004819:04
59J. GuentzelC011+100.00010018:58
67R. RakellR202+380.59100—18:44
71E. MalkinC000000.050006018:44
17B. RustR000070.97010—18:19
16J. ZuckerL101+140.3250010017:42
73P. JosephD022+210.03114—14:36
53T. BluegerC000+140.300105613:29
2C. RuhwedelD022+230.07210—12:58
42K. KapanenR000-330.17000—12:20
15J. ArchibaldR000010.10120—11:46
77J. CarterC000-200.002107111:21
10D. O'ConnorL000030.29100—10:35
23B. McGinnL000-200.02120—10:15
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(L)28235.8212.37-2.6358:47

Season series

NYI leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).