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Avalanche at Blues
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
St. Louis Blues
1
FinalTV ALT, BSMW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bowen Byram's goal at 7:37 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.6 to 1.5; shots on goal were COL 33, STL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Justus Annunen stopped 19 of 20 (.950); Jordan Binnington stopped 29 of 33 (.879). Three stars: 1. Bowen Byram (2 G), 2. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    B. Byram2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL1151929433
STLSTL051906120

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(35)
    N. MacKinnon (45), J. Compher (23)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:37

2nd period

  1. COL
    B. Byram(3)
    M. Rantanen (30), S. Girard (16)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    7:37
  2. STL
    S. Blais(2)
    J. Kyrou (29), L. Brown (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    15:28

3rd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(9)PPG
    A. Lehkonen (21), N. MacKinnon (46)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    2:56
  2. COL
    B. Byram(4)PPG
    S. Girard (17), J. Compher (24)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +4 pts
    4-1
    9:40

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 13:16COLJ.T. Compher · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 2:04STLTyler Tucker · Cross checkingdrawn by Ben Meyers2 min
  • 8:34COLKurtis MacDermid · Cross checkingdrawn by Josh Leivo2 min
  • 12:24STLRobert Thomas · High stickingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

3rd

  • 1:21STLJustin Faulk · Trippingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 8:07STLNick Leddy · Holdingdrawn by Ben Meyers2 min
  • 17:54COLJ.T. Compher · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCOL goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Bowen Byram, 2nd 7:37 — COL 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.10S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.10S. Blais · Goal · xG 0.09J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.09T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.07R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.05C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.05J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.05N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.03J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.02S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.01J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 1.5 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSTL
3.64 G
All situations
1 G1.5
2.62 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
1.02 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL84%16%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.60 – 1.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSTL
33
Shots on goal
20
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
10
Hits
22
10
Blocked shots
11
7
Giveaways
5
14
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000+100.17000—24:57
49S. GirardD022020.18020—24:24
8C. MakarD000+110.26100—21:27
4B. ByramD202+130.26010—20:22
96M. RantanenR112+230.420006020:15
29N. MacKinnonC022+160.410004219:10
37J. CompherL022+220.470045619:05
13V. NichushkinR101040.38110—18:41
62A. LehkonenL011030.29010—18:17
9E. RodriguesC000+120.220005017:55
18A. NewhookC000000.000001512:52
25L. O'ConnorR000-110.10110—12:48
88A. EnglundD000-100.00410—12:41
11A. CoglianoC000-110.01110011:39
83M. NietoL000010.09000—11:19
56K. MacDermidL000010.01222—10:58
59B. MeyersC000-120.3300010009:00
81D. MalginC000010.04000008:32
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Annunen(W)20191.9501.47+0.4759:38

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).