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Blues at Avalanche
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
FinalTV SN, TVAS·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 4-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Compher's goal at 11:36 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were STL 28, COL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Alexandar Georgiev stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Alex Newhook (1 G), 2. Logan O'Connor (2 A), 3. Evan Rodrigues (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    A. Newhook1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    L. O'Connor2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    E. Rodrigues1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0919110228
COLCOL21411215431

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    A. Newhook(12)
    L. O'Connor (11), B. Hunt (3)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:22
  2. COL
    J. Compher(10)
    S. Girard (12), L. O'Connor (12)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:36

2nd period

  1. COL
    E. Rodrigues(11)
    N. MacKinnon (41), C. Makar (32)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    4:48
  2. STL
    B. Schenn(13)PPG
    T. Krug (15), J. Kyrou (24)
    wristxG 0.44win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    16:27

3rd period

  1. STL
    I. Barbashev(9)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    9:40
  2. COL
    M. Nieto(9)EN
    M. Rantanen (27)
    wristxG 0.71win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:57

Penalties

STL 10 PIM·COL 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:18STLColton Parayko · Cross checkingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min

2nd

  • 0:24STLTorey Krug · Roughingdrawn by Matt Nieto2 min
  • 0:24COLMatt Nieto · Roughingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 15:13COLKurtis MacDermid · Roughingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min
  • 15:13STLNikita Alexandrov · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 15:13COLLogan O'Connor · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Binnington2 min
  • 15:13STLAlexey Toropchenko · Roughingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 15:13COLLogan O'Connor · Roughingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min
  • 17:43COLSamuel Girard · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 6:54STLNiko Mikkola · Trippingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSTL goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: J.T. Compher, 1st 11:36 — COL 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Nieto · Goal · xG 0.71J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.21N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.20D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.14A. Newhook · Goal · xG 0.13M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.12D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.11J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.10E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.10L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.09E. Rodrigues · Goal · xG 0.09D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.09A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.09J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.09D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.08L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.07M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.06L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.06E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.04K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.04E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.03L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.03A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02B. Meyers · Missed · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01A. Englund · On goal · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01
COL4 G · 3.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCOL
2.32 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL45%55%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCOL
28
Shots on goal
31
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
0/2
10
Penalty minutes
10
24
Hits
13
14
Blocked shots
15
0
Giveaways
3
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000-220.02010—25:11
4N. LeddyD000-100.00020—23:46
10B. SchennC101-140.683105223:16
55C. ParaykoD000000.00212—22:03
20B. SaadL000010.08000—21:12
91V. TarasenkoR000-120.17110—21:04
47T. KrugD011-250.14022—20:58
25J. KyrouR011040.11110—20:18
49I. BarbashevL101-120.13110—19:03
52N. AcciariC000-130.486104318:48
77N. MikkolaD000000.01122—14:27
41R. BortuzzoD000-100.09200—10:58
63J. NeighboursL000-110.18110—10:22
13A. ToropchenkoR000-110.02302—09:18
22L. BrownC000-100.00000009:11
17J. LeivoL000-120.05100—09:09
9T. PitlickC000-110.01100008:33
59N. AlexandrovC000-100.101026707:47
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)30273.9002.52-0.4858:36

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).