Skip to content
Blues at Avalanche
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸3
Colorado Avalanche
2
FinalTV ALT, BSMW·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2. The Avalanche scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Saad's goal at 18:59 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals were close — STL 3.1, COL 3.3; shots on goal were STL 39, COL 47. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 45 of 47 (.957), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 36 of 39 (.923). Three stars: 1. Robert Thomas (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Binnington (45 saves, .957), 3. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington45 saves, .957
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL011215113339
COLCOL017112118247

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(11)
    N. MacKinnon (20), C. Makar (14)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    11:29
  2. STL
    R. Thomas(3)
    P. Buchnevich (4), V. Tarasenko (7)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    13:49
  3. STL
    B. Saad(3)
    R. O'Reilly (2), C. Parayko (3)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    18:59

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(5)PPG
    R. Thomas (8), P. Buchnevich (5)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    0:13
  2. COL
    A. Lehkonen(4)PPG
    M. Rantanen (14), C. Makar (15)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    3:02

Penalties

STL 10 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:46STLTorey Krug · Hookingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min
  • 14:40STLBrayden Schenn · Trippingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

2nd

  • 6:31COLJ.T. Compher · Trippingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 19:58COLMikko Rantanen · Interferencedrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

3rd

  • 2:03STLBrayden Schenn · Trippingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 17:59STLJustin Faulk · Trippingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 18:16STLPavel Buchnevich · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSTL goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Brandon Saad, 2nd 18:59 — STL 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.21E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.15C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.15M. Kaut · Missed · xG 0.14A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.13D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.12J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.11C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.10E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.09E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.09D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.04E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.04L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.04M. Kaut · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.04S. Ranta · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kaut · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.03J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kaut · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Englund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 3.3 xG · 68 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCOL
3.13 G
All situations
2 G3.3
2.82 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.31 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 118 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL47%53%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.04 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCOL
39
Shots on goal
47
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
17
15
Blocked shots
7
6
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD011+230.10310—24:23
72J. FaulkD000010.02002—22:59
77N. MikkolaD000-100.01120—20:37
4N. LeddyD000+120.04210—20:24
90R. O'ReillyC011030.220105019:40
89P. BuchnevichL022+120.36102—18:38
10B. SchennC000010.291041817:17
91V. TarasenkoR011+130.10010—16:54
18R. ThomasC112+130.290106316:38
47T. KrugD000010.02102—15:29
25J. KyrouR101-150.54020—15:07
20B. SaadL101+150.46010—14:04
43C. RosenD000030.04020—14:04
49I. BarbashevL000-120.06200—13:00
52N. AcciariC000020.211008012:51
17J. LeivoL000+120.23100—11:54
9T. PitlickC000000.05320009:09
59N. AlexandrovC000010.06010008:09
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)47452.9573.26+1.2660:00

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).