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Islanders at Flyers
NHL

New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
1
Philadelphia Flyers
▸3
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Islanders 3-1. The Islanders scored first; the Flyers answered. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Hayes's goal at 9:45 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were NYI 24, PHI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Carter Hart stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Lukas Sedlak (2 A), 2. Carter Hart (23 saves, .958), 3. Kevin Hayes (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    L. Sedlak2 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Hart23 saves, .958
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    K. Hayes2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI190807124
PHIPHI21209112333

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    N. Dobson(7)PPG
    M. Barzal (24), B. Nelson (12)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:12
  2. PHI
    T. Sanheim(2)SHG
    N. Cates (5), L. Sedlak (4)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:37
  3. PHI
    K. Hayes(7)
    L. Sedlak (5)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    9:45

3rd period

  1. PHI
    K. Hayes(8)EN
    I. Provorov (10)
    wristxG 0.53win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:26

Penalties

NYI 16 PIM·PHI 20 PIM

1st

  • 0:07NYIMatt Martin · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
  • 0:07PHIZack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Matt Martin5 min
  • 0:08PHINicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Ross Johnston5 min
  • 0:08NYIRoss Johnston · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 2:10PHIKieffer Bellows · Slashingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
  • 2:47PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Interferencedrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 11:21NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Hookingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
  • 20:00NYIAdam Pelech · Roughingdrawn by Lukas Sedlak2 min
  • 20:00PHILukas Sedlak · Roughingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min

2nd

  • 8:37PHIMax Willman · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
  • 19:26NYIAdam Pelech · Interferencedrawn by Morgan Frost2 min

3rd

  • 14:13PHIOwen Tippett · High stickingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYI goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Hayes, 1st 9:45 — PHI 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.53L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.22Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.20M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.16L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.15N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.14K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.13L. Sedlak · Missed · xG 0.13K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.12N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.11O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.09S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.08K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.08J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.08T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.07J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.06O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.06I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.03L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 2.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsPHI
2.01 G
All situations
2 G2.8
1.00 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI44%56%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsPHI
24
Shots on goal
33
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/4
Power play
0/2
16
Penalty minutes
20
30
Hits
38
16
Blocked shots
19
10
Giveaways
7
10
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
13M. BarzalC011-120.200005023:49
8N. DobsonD101-130.33300—23:02
24S. MayfieldD000-120.22010—20:57
44J. PageauC000-100.004105320:54
29B. NelsonC011-220.291203319:33
27A. LeeL000-220.42400—19:09
3A. PelechD000-110.02214—17:55
28A. RomanovD000-120.02340—17:55
6R. PulockD000-100.00050—16:52
25S. AhoD000000.03200—16:51
18A. BeauvillierR000-320.04300—16:47
11Z. PariseL000-110.01110—16:36
26O. WahlstromR000-150.17002—14:21
53C. CizikasC000010.140006714:09
10S. HolmstromR000000.09000—11:21
17M. MartinL000010.00305—11:21
32R. JohnstonL000000.00315—09:35
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.00100—04:11
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)32302.9382.31+0.3158:42

Season series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).