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Flyers at Islanders
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
2
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV NBCSP, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 2:57 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.3, NYI 2.1; shots on goal were PHI 28, NYI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Felix Sandstrom stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.9 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Ryan Pulock (4 A), 2. Zach Parise (2 G), 3. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    R. Pulock4 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    Z. Parise2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Beauvillier1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1411509228
NYINYI161839523

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Pelech(3)
    A. Beauvillier (5)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:33
  2. PHI
    L. Sedlak(2)
    K. Hayes (15), I. Provorov (9)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:27

2nd period

  1. PHI
    J. Farabee(5)
    K. Hayes (16), L. Sedlak (3)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    9:28
  2. NYI
    Z. Parise(6)PPG
    R. Pulock (7)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    16:38

3rd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(11)
    R. Pulock (8)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +25 pts
    2-3
    2:57
  2. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(5)
    R. Pulock (9)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    3:19
  3. NYI
    Z. Parise(7)PPG
    J. Bailey (3), R. Pulock (10)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    11:57

Penalties

PHI 27 PIM·NYI 23 PIM

2nd

  • 5:48NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
  • 14:42PHIIvan Provorov · Cross checkingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

3rd

  • 7:26NYIScott Mayfield · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Laczynski2 min
  • 10:00PHINicolas Deslauriers · Cross checkingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
  • 16:44NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Fightingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo5 min
  • 16:44PHITony DeAngelo · Fightingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom5 min
  • 16:44PHINicolas Deslauriers · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
  • 16:44NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min
  • 16:44NYIScott Mayfield · Misconduct10 min
  • 16:44PHINicolas Deslauriers · Misconduct10 min
  • 16:44PHINicolas Deslauriers · Roughingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 18:57NYIMatt Martin · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 18:57PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Roughingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min
  • 20:00PHIZack MacEwen · Roughingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalPHI goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Brock Nelson, 3rd 2:57 — NYI 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.21B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.21Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.19C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.12M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.10B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.10O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.05J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.05A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.05A. Pelech · Goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI5 G · 2.1 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNYI
2.32 G
All situations
5 G2.1
2.02 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI52%48%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 2.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNYI
28
Shots on goal
23
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
2/3
27
Penalty minutes
23
25
Hits
26
11
Blocked shots
11
7
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000020.28130—22:44
9I. ProvorovD011040.13132—21:49
77T. DeAngeloD000010.01105—21:25
55R. RistolainenD000010.15422—20:36
23L. SedlakC112020.182107717:32
17Z. MacEwenR000-110.00202—17:04
48M. FrostC000010.240002316:48
49N. CatesL000-100.150002916:21
13K. HayesR022050.2710010016:02
24N. SeelerD000-130.11210—15:45
20K. BellowsL000010.00200—15:31
86J. FarabeeL101+110.38000—15:24
44N. DeslauriersL000-220.104116—15:08
74O. TippettR000000.051005014:22
61J. BraunD000-100.03000—13:58
38P. BrownC000030.19200012:57
58T. LaczynskiC000000.000006011:30
71M. WillmanC000010.00200008:14
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Sandstrom(L)23185.7832.14-2.8659:54

Season series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).