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Stars at Avalanche
NHL

Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
FinalTV ALT, BSSWX·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Dallas Stars 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dryden Hunt's goal at 10:43 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were DAL 42, COL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.6 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 41 of 42 (.976), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexandar Georgiev (41 saves, .976), 2. Josh Manson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dryden Hunt (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    A. Georgiev41 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    COL
    J. Manson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    D. Hunt1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL01612006142
COLCOL210110116436

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(6)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    2:05
  2. COL
    J. Manson(2)
    M. Rantanen (16), A. Lehkonen (11)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:51

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(10)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (13), J. Robertson (17)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    8:13
  2. COL
    D. Hunt(2)
    A. Newhook (3), M. Kaut (2)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    10:43

3rd period

  1. COL
    A. Cogliano(3)
    L. O'Connor (2), J. Manson (4)
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    7:01

Penalties

DAL 33 PIM·COL 15 PIM

1st

  • 0:37DALNils Lundkvist · Holdingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min

2nd

  • 0:50COLJosh Manson · Interferencedrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 7:42COLJosh Manson · Holdingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 12:10COLNathan MacKinnon · Hookingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 14:10COLserved by M. Kaut · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:31COLJosh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

3rd

  • 0:44DALRyan Suter · High stickingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 4:20DALserved by M. Marchment · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:40DALLuke Glendening · Instigatordrawn by Jacob MacDonald2 min
  • 18:40DALLuke Glendening · Fightingdrawn by Jacob MacDonald5 min
  • 18:40COLJacob MacDonald · Fightingdrawn by Luke Glendening5 min
  • 18:40DALLuke Glendening · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:40DALLuke Glendening · Game misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalDAL goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Dryden Hunt, 2nd 10:43 — COL 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Cogliano · Goal · xG 0.16D. Hunt · Goal · xG 0.16A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.14A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.07L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.07S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.07M. Kaut · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.03J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.00J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 2.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCOL
2.81 G
All situations
4 G2.4
0.90 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
1.91 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL57%43%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 2.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCOL
42
Shots on goal
36
63%
Faceoffs
37%
1/5
Power play
1/4
33
Penalty minutes
15
33
Hits
36
10
Blocked shots
13
8
Giveaways
4
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD011-210.06130—26:57
23E. LindellD000020.02310—19:48
24R. HintzC000020.130002919:03
21J. RobertsonL011-150.27100—18:56
91T. SeguinC000-120.251007118:45
20R. SuterD000-240.04402—18:29
16J. PavelskiC101-160.773006717:57
6C. MillerD000-120.06600—17:23
27M. MarchmentL000040.33300—17:21
2J. HakanpääD000000.01210—16:23
34D. GurianovR000020.19100—16:03
14J. BennL000-210.130005014:07
11L. GlendeningC000000.00112710013:02
5N. LundkvistD000-130.04222—12:50
12R. FaksaC000020.0512010011:55
25J. KivirantaL000-130.11200—11:30
10T. DellandreaC000-120.172006011:25
53W. JohnstonC000-210.16000011:18
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(L)36324.8892.40-1.6060:00

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).