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Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins

FinalTV MSG-B, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-0. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrice Bergeron's goal at 6:16 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.5 to 2.4; shots on goal were BUF 37, BOS 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Dustin Tokarski stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 1.5 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 37 of 37 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (3 G, 1 A), 2. Linus Ullmark (37 saves, 1.000), 3. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    L. Ullmark37 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF012015010037
BOSBOS06214312532

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    6:16
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    12:29

3rd period

  1. BOS
    T. Hall (41), B. Marchand (48)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +5 pts
    0-3
    2:11
  2. BOS
    T. Hall(20)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    4:16
  3. BOS
    snapxG 0.13
    0-5
    17:47

Penalties

BUF 14 PIM·BOS 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:26BUFHenri Jokiharju · Trippingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
  • 16:41BOSTrent Frederic · Slashingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 19:30BOSBrad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min

2nd

  • 2:55BOSTaylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by John Hayden2 min
  • 8:54BUFJeff Skinner · Trippingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min
  • 12:29BUFserved by V. Olofsson · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 1:28BUFPeyton Krebs · High stickingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 2:11BUFserved by V. Olofsson · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge double minor4 min
  • 4:30BOSTomas Nosek · Roughingdrawn by Casey Fitzgerald2 min
  • 4:30BUFCasey Fitzgerald · Roughingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalBUF goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Patrice Bergeron, 2nd 6:16 — BOS 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.24C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.24T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.24J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.22P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.17P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.15E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.15D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.15P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.13C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.13B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.13P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.13T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.11D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.11P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.10T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.10C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.09C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.07C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.04N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.04P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS5 G · 3.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsBOS
2.40 G
All situations
5 G3.5
2.10 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.30 G
Power play
2 G1.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF35%65%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsBOS
37
Shots on goal
32
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
2/6
14
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
19
4
Blocked shots
17
17
Giveaways
10
16
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000-130.10120—24:43
25O. PowerD000020.11000—21:39
23M. SamuelssonD000-120.09210—21:23
10H. JokiharjuD000-140.08112—18:45
24D. CozensC000020.270006418:38
72T. ThompsonC000-210.151002517:59
89A. TuchR000-120.38100—16:17
37C. MittelstadtC000-140.150005415:47
29V. HinostrozaC000-110.1700010015:37
28Z. GirgensonsC000030.213001815:32
78J. BrysonD000-200.00000—15:15
45C. FitzgeraldD000-110.01402—14:54
53J. SkinnerL000-150.290025014:09
71V. OlofssonL000-120.19000—13:48
19P. KrebsC000-100.002022011:48
74R. AsplundC000040.03100011:31
96A. BjorkL000-100.01000—11:31
15J. HaydenC000010.19500009:56
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31D. Tokarski(L)32275.8443.46-1.5460:00

Season series

BOS leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).