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Sabres at Bruins
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
3
Boston Bruins
▸4
Final/OTTV MSG-B, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-3 in overtime, Charlie Coyle scoring at 0:34. The Bruins came back from two goals down. The Sabres led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Charlie Coyle's goal at 0:34 of overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were BUF 22, BOS 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 37 of 41 (.902), 0.6 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Charlie Coyle (1 G), 2. Charlie McAvoy (3 A), 3. Alex Tuch (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    C. Coyle1 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    C. McAvoy3 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    A. Tuch1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BUFBUF13290901322
BOSBOS01311321411441

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    V. Hinostroza(6)
    B. Murray (4), R. Dahlin (15)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:33

2nd period

  1. BOS
    C. Smith(3)
    B. Marchand (17), C. McAvoy (12)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    3:47
  2. BUF
    J. Skinner(10)
    A. Tuch (2), T. Thompson (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    11:32
  3. BUF
    A. Tuch(1)PPG
    P. Krebs (1), T. Thompson (10)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    19:11

3rd period

  1. BOS
    N. Foligno(1)
    J. DeBrusk (4)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    3:24
  2. BOS
    T. Hall(6)
    M. Grzelcyk (6), C. McAvoy (13)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +27 pts
    3-3
    4:49

Overtime

  1. BOS
    C. Coyle(8)
    B. Marchand (18), C. McAvoy (14)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    0:34

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·BOS 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:13BUFAlex Tuch · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Grzelcyk2 min
  • 7:08BUFAnders Bjork · Boardingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min

2nd

  • 0:31BUFJeff Skinner · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 4:19BOSErik Haula · Holding the stickdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 5:33BOSTomas Nosek · Trippingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min
  • 14:17BUFAlex Tuch · Interferencedrawn by Patrice Bergeron2 min
  • 18:25BOSCraig Smith · Hookingdrawn by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen2 min

3rd

  • 13:27BOSCraig Smith · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalBUF goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Charlie Coyle, OT 0:34 — BOS 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.20J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.18E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.15T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.15C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.14N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.13C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.12P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.12N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.11C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.11N. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.10C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.09N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.09C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.07B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.07C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.07C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.05T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.03C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.03P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.00M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.00M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS4 G · 3.4 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsBOS
1.73 G
All situations
4 G3.4
0.92 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF22%78%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 3.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsBOS
22
Shots on goal
41
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
14
10
Blocked shots
10
9
Giveaways
2
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD011-110.09320—26:37
10H. JokiharjuD000-100.00000—24:24
72T. ThompsonC022030.130101519:09
53J. SkinnerL101050.48012—18:26
89A. TuchR112+110.15114—18:20
13M. PysykD000-110.06010—17:59
4W. ButcherD000000.04210—17:54
19P. KrebsC011-200.070007516:14
45C. FitzgeraldD000000.01310—16:01
21K. OkposoR000-230.110008015:58
20C. EakinC000+110.000006015:14
71V. OlofssonL000-220.41000—14:47
57B. MurrayL011000.00500—14:32
74R. AsplundC000-110.080005813:51
29V. HinostrozaC101+130.0800010013:16
6E. ProwD000000.00000—11:52
15J. HaydenC000-110.02020011:14
96A. BjorkL000000.00102—07:55
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(O)41374.9023.42-0.5860:34

Season series

BOS leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).