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Bruins at Sabres
NHL

Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Boston Bruins
▸5
Buffalo Sabres
1
FinalTV MSG-B, NESN·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-1. The Sabres scored first; the Bruins answered. The Bruins led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Charlie Coyle's goal at 14:20 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 46% to 61%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were BOS 47, BUF 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Dustin Tokarski stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (1 G, 1 A), 2. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Foligno (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    N. Foligno2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS42207118547
BUFBUF1801403125

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    K. Okposo(5)
    R. Asplund (7)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:56
  2. BOS
    P. Bergeron(7)
    D. Pastrnak (11), B. Marchand (13)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:29
  3. BOS
    C. Coyle(6)
    N. Foligno (2)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    14:20
  4. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(6)PPG
    C. McAvoy (10), P. Bergeron (8)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    16:59
  5. BOS
    M. Reilly(2)
    N. Foligno (3), J. Zboril (3)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    19:00

3rd period

  1. BOS
    T. Hall(5)PPG
    C. Smith (2), C. Coyle (5)
    wristxG 0.05
    5-1
    15:26

Penalties

BOS 7 PIM·BUF 22 PIM

1st

  • 2:25BOSJakub Zboril · Cross checkingdrawn by John Hayden2 min
  • 15:30BUFRasmus Dahlin · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

2nd

  • 1:42BOSNick Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Colin Miller5 min
  • 1:42BUFColin Miller · Fightingdrawn by Nick Foligno5 min
  • 9:22BOSDerek Forbort · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by John Hayden0 min

3rd

  • 13:46BUFZemgus Girgensons · Boardingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy5 min
  • 13:46BUFZemgus Girgensons · Game misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalBOS goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Charlie Coyle, 1st 14:20 — BOS 46% → 61%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.20T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.16J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.13J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.12J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.11M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.08R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ruotsalainen · Missed · xG 0.07R. Asplund · Missed · xG 0.07C. Eakin · Missed · xG 0.07V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.06K. Okposo · Goal · xG 0.05V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.02T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.01D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.01C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ruotsalainen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF1 G · 1.7 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsBUF
2.95 G
All situations
1 G1.7
2.13 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.82 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS70%30%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.83 – 1.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsBUF
47
Shots on goal
25
69%
Faceoffs
31%
2/3
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
22
27
Hits
18
10
Blocked shots
10
4
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6M. ReillyD101+160.17220—21:20
13C. CoyleC112+240.250105020:30
48M. GrzelcykD000020.04020—20:01
25B. CarloD000+100.00300—18:53
73C. McAvoyD011010.04010—18:38
28D. ForbortD000+110.02010—17:56
67J. ZborilD011+120.07302—17:34
63B. MarchandL011040.49000—17:11
88D. PastrnakR112040.31000—16:40
12C. SmithC011040.25100016:30
71T. HallL101+240.21000—16:26
74J. DeBruskL000020.1011010016:25
37P. BergeronC112050.262008614:28
17N. FolignoL022+220.1350510014:13
92T. NosekL000030.340108913:53
20C. LazarC000020.17210012:46
81A. BlidhL000000.00400—12:24
56E. HaulaL000010.024006012:12
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(W)25241.9601.72+0.7260:00

Season series

BOS leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).