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St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth

Final/OTTV BSAZX, BSMW·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Utah Mammoth 5-4 in overtime, Justin Faulk scoring at 0:30. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Faulk's goal at 0:30 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were STL 33, ARI 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.7 goals below expected; Harri Sateri stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Justin Faulk (2 G, 1 A), 2. Logan Brown (1 G, 1 A), 3. Bokondji Imama (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Faulk2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    L. Brown1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    B. Imama1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL3151130411533
ARIARI160331100420

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:13
  2. STL
    J. Faulk (30), N. Leddy (21)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    5:51
  3. STL
    B. Saad(23)PPG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    16:20
  4. ARI
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    17:11

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    2:56

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.30win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    5:39
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    4-3
    6:23
  3. ARI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +39 pts
    4-4
    15:18

Overtime

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    0:30

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·ARI 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:12ARIAlex Galchenyuk · Hookingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
  • 15:40ARIShayne Gostisbehere · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 18:46STLAlexey Toropchenko · Holding the stickdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 19:54ARIAlex Galchenyuk · High stickingdrawn by Marco Scandella2 min

2nd

  • 10:40STLDavid Perron · High stickingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 11:47ARINick Schmaltz · Hookingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalSTL goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Justin Faulk, OT 0:30 — STL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Imama · Goal · xG 0.31A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.19P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.18L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.16M. Carcone · Goal · xG 0.14A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.12A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.11T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.11K. Capobianco · On goal · xG 0.10J. Jenik · Missed · xG 0.10K. Capobianco · Missed · xG 0.09N. Smith · Goal · xG 0.08J. Moser · Goal · xG 0.08M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.06N. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.04K. Capobianco · Missed · xG 0.04J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.04B. Imama · On goal · xG 0.03J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03J. Jenik · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.02A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.02C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.02J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dineen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.01
ARI4 G · 2.3 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsARI
4.15 G
All situations
4 G2.3
3.44 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL79%21%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.08 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsARI
33
Shots on goal
20
67%
Faceoffs
33%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
34
5
Blocked shots
11
13
Giveaways
19
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. LeddyD011+130.23100—22:35
55C. ParaykoD000020.24110—21:44
72J. FaulkD213+250.28100—21:21
6M. ScandellaD000010.12300—20:06
90R. O'ReillyC000-110.110005718:14
18R. ThomasC011030.530007917:39
89P. BuchnevichL000-100.00200—17:24
25J. KyrouR000-110.07000—17:07
20B. SaadL101-110.18000—16:56
57D. PerronL000-100.16002—16:06
43C. RosenD000-240.29010—15:41
91V. TarasenkoR011000.05110—15:36
41R. BortuzzoD000-200.01000—14:20
49I. BarbashevL101-120.321105713:18
22L. BrownC112+210.160007013:05
26N. WalkerL011+220.20410—12:32
65A. ToropchenkoR000-110.13202—12:24
54D. JoshuaC011+261.02100011:35
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)20164.8002.26-1.7460:17

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).