Utah Mammoth at St. Louis Blues
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Utah Mammoth 5-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 2:17 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were ARI 22, STL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Ivan Prosvetov stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 1.4 goals below expected; Ville Husso stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vladimir Tarasenko (2 G), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G, 2 A), 3. Robert Thomas (2 A).
Three stars
- ★V. Tarasenko2 G

- ★★P. Buchnevich1 G, 2 A

- ★★★R. Thomas2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals2nd period
0-12:17
0-23:34
0-36:33
0-414:39
3rd period
1-43:09
1-513:09
Penalties
1st
- 2:01
Kyle Capobianco · Holdingdrawn by David Perron2 min
- 19:00
Brayden Schenn · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
2nd
- 5:47
Barrett Hayton · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
- 14:12
Robert Thomas · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, 2nd 2:17 — 53% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.11 G
- All situations
- 5 G3.6
- 2.01 G
- Even strength
- 3 G3.1
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 3.55
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 6
- Hits
- 22
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 5
- Giveaways
- 7
- 12
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
STL leads 3-1
7@
4Final
3@
2Final
1@
5this game
5@
4OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
