Skip to content
Blackhawks at Predators
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
3
Nashville Predators
▸4
FinalTV NBCSCH, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Predators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dominik Kubalik's goal at 5:15 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were CHI 31, NSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.8 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikael Granlund (1 G, 1 A), 2. Roman Josi (1 G), 3. Mattias Ekholm (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    M. Granlund1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Ekholm1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI16111114331
NSHNSH1721918434

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    E. Tolvanen(10)
    P. Tomasino (18), C. Glass (1)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:22
  2. CHI
    P. Kane(25)
    D. Strome (25), A. DeBrincat (32)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    7:31

2nd period

  1. CHI
    D. Kubalik(13)
    J. McCabe (16), L. Reichel (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    5:15
  2. NSH
    R. Josi(20)
    R. Johansen (35), F. Forsberg (35)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    5:58
  3. NSH
    M. Duchene(39)PPG
    M. Granlund (45), F. Forsberg (36)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    19:34

3rd period

  1. NSH
    M. Granlund(10)
    M. Ekholm (22), D. Fabbro (19)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    3:14
  2. CHI
    R. Stillman(2)
    P. Kane (63), A. DeBrincat (33)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    3-4
    14:31

Penalties

CHI 16 PIM·NSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 8:17CHIMacKenzie Entwistle · Cross checkingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 13:30NSHMatt Duchene · High sticking double minordrawn by Riley Stillman4 min
  • 19:19NSHMatt Duchene · Interferencedrawn by Taylor Raddysh2 min

2nd

  • 5:33CHIMacKenzie Entwistle · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 5:33CHIBoris Katchouk · Misconduct10 min
  • 5:33NSHMattias Ekholm · Roughingdrawn by MacKenzie Entwistle2 min
  • 16:00NSHserved by P. Tomasino · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:12CHIAlec Regula · High stickingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCHI goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Dominik Kubalik, 2nd 5:15 — CHI 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.55F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.27R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.24F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.22M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.22M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.15E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.14R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.14M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.13E. Tolvanen · Goal · xG 0.12R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.11M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.08P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.07P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.07Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.07R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.04P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.02R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH4 G · 3.7 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsNSH
2.23 G
All situations
4 G3.7
1.73 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI34%66%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsNSH
31
Shots on goal
34
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/4
Power play
1/2
16
Penalty minutes
10
28
Hits
28
11
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88P. KaneR112050.34010—25:53
4S. JonesD000-230.09320—25:52
12A. DeBrincatR022+130.334005024:28
17D. StromeC011+100.000005022:30
56E. GustafssonD000+120.04110—20:14
6J. McCabeD011+110.01200—17:56
61R. StillmanD101030.17350—16:10
75A. RegulaD000+100.00022—16:06
11T. RaddyshR000030.12200—16:01
43A. VlasicD000-100.00200—15:36
19J. ToewsC000-110.090006414:53
90T. JohnsonC000010.25100013:00
8D. KubalikL101+120.21100—12:50
52R. JohnsonC000-100.002005012:46
24S. LaffertyC000+120.16200012:23
27L. ReichelL011+100.000005012:05
58M. EntwistleR000-100.00304—11:17
14B. KatchoukL000-150.372010—08:10
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)34304.8823.17-0.8357:28

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).