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Predators at Blackhawks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Chicago Blackhawks
▸2
Final/OTTV NBCSCH, BSSO·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Nashville Predators 2-1 in overtime, Alex DeBrincat scoring at 0:37. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 0:37 of overtime, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were NSH 21, CHI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (1 G), 2. Juuse Saros (30 saves, .938), 3. Kevin Lankinen (20 saves, .952).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    A. DeBrincat1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros30 saves, .938
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    K. Lankinen20 saves, .952

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH05180800121
CHICHI0101701411232

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. CHI
    B. Hagel(4)
    S. Jones (11), J. Toews (7)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    7:15
  2. NSH
    A. Carrier(1)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    9:05

Overtime

  1. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(7)
    P. Kane (7), K. Lankinen (1)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    0:37

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:37NSHMatt Duchene · Hookingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

2nd

  • 2:09CHIKirby Dach · High stickingdrawn by Philip Tomasino2 min
  • 11:03CHIKirby Dach · High stickingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 14:38NSHMatt Benning · Interferencedrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

3rd

  • 5:55NSHRoman Josi · Trippingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalNSH goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, OT 0:37 — CHI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.24A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.21K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.17D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.17J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.17K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.16P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.16J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.15P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.15D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.14B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.12B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.12K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.12B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.11D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.08K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.07J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.05J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.04M. Hardman · Missed · xG 0.04D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.03C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.02R. Stillman · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01M. Entwistle · Missed · xG 0.01
CHI2 G · 3.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCHI
1.91 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.81 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.10 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH26%74%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 3.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCHI
21
Shots on goal
32
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
40
12
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
12
10
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-100.06022—25:51
14M. EkholmD000-110.12000—22:20
64M. GranlundC000000.061106919:50
95M. DucheneC000-120.1811210019:38
10C. SissonsC000030.063004418:04
45A. CarrierD101+120.14000—18:03
57D. FabbroD000010.01110—18:02
11L. KuninC000010.04900017:23
84T. JeannotL000000.00610—17:03
5M. BenningD000-100.00422—16:48
13Y. TreninC000020.07210016:40
55P. MyersD000+100.01100—15:43
92R. JohansenC000-210.020106714:16
26P. TomasinoR000-110.25110—13:36
28E. TolvanenR000+150.48100—13:22
82T. NovakC000+100.19000011:10
23R. GrimaldiR000+110.09100—10:37
21N. CousinsC000-110.09010007:25
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(O)32302.9383.26+1.2660:37

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).