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Predators at Blackhawks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks

Final/OTTV NBCSCH, BSSO·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-2 in overtime, Tanner Jeannot scoring at 0:58. The Predators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tanner Jeannot's goal at 0:58 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — NSH 1.8, CHI 1.6; shots on goal were NSH 31, CHI 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 17 of 19 (.895); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tanner Jeannot (1 G), 2. Colton Sissons (1 G), 3. Jonathan Toews (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    T. Jeannot1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    C. Sissons1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    J. Toews1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH190151611331
CHICHI16061700219

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    T. Novak(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    11:56
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:57

3rd period

  1. NSH
    snapxG 0.10win prob +30 pts
    2-1
    11:33
  2. CHI
    snapxG 0.10win prob +36 pts
    2-2
    13:55

Overtime

  1. NSH
    R. Josi (19)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    0:58

Penalties

NSH 10 PIM·CHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:48NSHEeli Tolvanen · Hookingdrawn by MacKenzie Entwistle2 min
  • 10:32CHIConnor Murphy · Cross checkingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 18:43CHISeth Jones · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 1:06NSHMattias Ekholm · Slashingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 4:35NSHRocco Grimaldi · Interferencedrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
  • 5:14CHIPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 16:43NSHPhilippe Myers · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min

3rd

  • 7:23CHIConnor Murphy · Holdingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
  • 10:15CHIErik Gustafsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:04NSHTanner Jeannot · Trippingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalNSH goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Tanner Jeannot, OT 0:58 — NSH 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.14D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.13D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.12D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.10J. Toews · Goal · xG 0.10J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.08J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.07D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.05R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.05C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.05D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.04C. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04K. Dach · Goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.03C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI2 G · 1.6 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCHI
1.83 G
All situations
2 G1.6
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.42 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH53%47%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 1.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCHI
31
Shots on goal
19
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/5
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
36
Hits
33
16
Blocked shots
19
5
Giveaways
11
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011040.29030—25:56
14M. EkholmD000-120.06212—23:43
10C. SissonsC101-130.282005223:17
84T. JeannotL101030.40602—22:41
9F. ForsbergL011-120.14130—21:08
45A. CarrierD011000.00120—21:02
57D. FabbroD000-110.02350—19:43
13Y. TreninC000000.02500016:13
28E. TolvanenR011020.09402—15:39
5M. BenningD000-100.00110—15:38
11L. KuninC011-120.040002014:38
82T. NovakC101-120.060004312:55
25M. OlivierR000010.07200—11:42
8C. GlassC000020.091103011:31
36C. SmithR000000.00200—11:12
23R. GrimaldiR000010.021026709:25
55P. MyersD000040.09202—08:23
77K. SherwoodR000020.09300—08:08
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)19172.8951.61-0.3960:58

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).