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Islanders at Devils
NHL

New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸4
New Jersey Devils
3
FinalTV TNT, SN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New Jersey Devils 4-3. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Tatar's goal at 5:32 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 8% to 24%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were NYI 29, NJD 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Nico Daws stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (3 G, 1 A), 2. Kyle Palmieri (1 G, 2 A), 3. Adam Pelech (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Pageau3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    K. Palmieri1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Pelech3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI2141718429
NJDNJD01015215330

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(11)
    K. Palmieri (13), A. Pelech (22)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:56
  2. NYI
    J. Pageau(12)PPG
    A. Lee (16)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    14:00

2nd period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(13)
    A. Pelech (23), K. Palmieri (14)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    14:58
  2. NJD
    J. Boqvist(6)
    D. Severson (29), J. Kuokkanen (8)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    15:45

3rd period

  1. NJD
    T. Tatar(13)
    A. Johnsson (21), D. Mercer (23)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    5:32
  2. NYI
    K. Palmieri(13)
    J. Pageau (20), A. Pelech (24)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    4-2
    14:53
  3. NJD
    N. Hischier(19)
    D. Mercer (24), D. Hamilton (19)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +5 pts
    4-3
    18:54

Penalties

NYI 9 PIM·NJD 31 PIM

1st

  • 8:25NYINoah Dobson · Cross checkingdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min
  • 13:39NJDJesper Boqvist · Trippingdrawn by Zdeno Chara2 min

2nd

  • 4:36NJDP.K. Subban · Fightingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom5 min
  • 4:36NJDP.K. Subban · Instigatordrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min
  • 4:36NJDP.K. Subban · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 4:36NJDP.K. Subban · Aggressor10 min
  • 4:36NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Fightingdrawn by P.K. Subban5 min
  • 10:03NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 17:13NYICasey Cizikas · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Nico Daws2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalNYI goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Tomas Tatar, 3rd 5:32 — NJD 8% → 24%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.23R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.19T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.17N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.16Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.15J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.15N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.14T. Tatar · Goal · xG 0.13N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.12N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.12D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.10D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.10J. Boqvist · Goal · xG 0.09T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.09J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.09J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.09N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.08J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.07D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.07J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.06D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.06T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01T. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.01
NJD3 G · 3.4 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNJD
2.04 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.83 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.21 G
Power play
0 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI27%73%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 3.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNJD
29
Shots on goal
30
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
31
24
Hits
23
12
Blocked shots
10
4
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD000-210.01112—22:57
6R. PulockD000+220.02130—21:58
33Z. CharaD000-300.01210—21:22
3A. PelechD033+320.00120—20:12
44J. PageauC314+350.645003319:01
29B. NelsonC000-300.000006217:57
12J. BaileyR000+300.04000—17:54
21K. PalmieriC123+330.27010017:13
11Z. PariseL000-130.3932010016:54
27A. LeeL011-200.00200—16:31
4A. GreeneD000-110.04010—16:07
13M. BarzalC000010.070007515:25
18A. BeauvillierR000-200.00000—14:50
7G. HuttonD000+160.16100—13:30
53C. CizikasC000-110.031028312:31
26O. WahlstromR000030.27305—11:25
17M. MartinL000010.01310—10:57
32R. JohnstonL000000.00100—09:16
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. Schneider(W)30273.9003.41+0.4160:00

Season series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).