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New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MSG+, MSG·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the New York Islanders 4-0. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Janne Kuokkanen's goal at 12:12 of the first period, which took the Devils' chances from 51% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were NYI 42, NJD 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.3 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 42 of 42 (1.000), 3.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mackenzie Blackwood (42 saves, 1.000), 2. Tomas Tatar (1 G), 3. Janne Kuokkanen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    M. Blackwood42 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NJD
    T. Tatar1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Kuokkanen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI016014012042
NJDNJD11011529434

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    12:12

2nd period

  1. NJD
    T. Tatar(1)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    19:10

3rd period

  1. NJD
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +5 pts
    0-3
    5:46
  2. NJD
    slapxG 0.02
    0-4
    16:33

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:23NJDJesper Bratt · Holding the stickdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 18:14NYIZach Parise · High stickingdrawn by Ty Smith2 min

2nd

  • 3:04NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Slashingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 14:35NJDDamon Severson · Roughingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 14:35NYIKyle Palmieri · Roughingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min
  • 16:40NJDTomas Tatar · Hookingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
  • 18:38NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Trippingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalNYI goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Janne Kuokkanen, 1st 12:12 — NJD 51% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.23J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.20J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.19A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.18D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.14J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.13P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.10A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.09T. Tatar · Goal · xG 0.08A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.07D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.07T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.06T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.05T. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.04P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kuokkanen · Goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.02A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01T. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.01
NJD4 G · 2.7 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNJD
3.00 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.40 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.40 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI55%45%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.96 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNJD
42
Shots on goal
34
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
23
15
Giveaways
19
8
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33Z. CharaD000-100.04300—20:21
3A. PelechD000-120.48100—20:11
6R. PulockD000-250.27220—19:33
24S. MayfieldD000-110.04010—19:05
13M. BarzalC000-140.261003318:29
4A. GreeneD000000.00000—17:59
8N. DobsonD000010.03240—17:32
12J. BaileyR000020.030004017:23
21K. PalmieriC000-340.53002017:15
18A. BeauvillierR000-140.2600010017:10
27A. LeeL000-130.1210010016:41
29B. NelsonC000-200.002104415:56
11Z. PariseL000-150.50202—15:52
44J. PageauC000010.013105314:32
26O. WahlstromR000-140.16102—13:52
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.00200—11:21
17M. MartinL000030.134105011:17
53C. CizikasC000030.170005810:59
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)34304.8822.69-1.3160:00

Season series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).