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Devils at Islanders
NHL

New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
2
New York Islanders
▸4
FinalTV MSG+, MSG·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New Jersey Devils 4-2. The Devils scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Parise's goal at 16:33 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 48% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 4.7 to 2.5; shots on goal were NJD 32, NYI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.5 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mathew Barzal (2 A), 3. Oliver Wahlstrom (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Pageau1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    O. Wahlstrom2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD21009013232
NYINYI11027112429

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt(8)
    J. Siegenthaler (6)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    17:01
  2. NYI
    N. Dobson(3)PPG
    M. Barzal (11), O. Wahlstrom (4)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    17:45
  3. NJD
    J. Hughes(4)
    P. Zacha (6)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    18:25

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Greene(1)
    M. Barzal (12), J. Bailey (8)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    8:33
  2. NYI
    Z. Parise(1)SHG
    J. Pageau (5), S. Mayfield (4)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +23 pts
    2-3
    16:33

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(4)
    O. Wahlstrom (5)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    2-4
    9:37

Penalties

NJD 13 PIM·NYI 25 PIM

1st

  • 6:30NJDMason Geertsen · Illegal check to headdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
  • 6:30NJDMason Geertsen · Fightingdrawn by Zdeno Chara5 min
  • 6:30NYIZdeno Chara · Instigatordrawn by Mason Geertsen2 min
  • 6:30NYIZdeno Chara · Fightingdrawn by Mason Geertsen5 min
  • 6:30NYIZdeno Chara · Misconductdrawn by Mason Geertsen10 min
  • 17:38NJDTomas Tatar · Cross checkingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

2nd

  • 10:08NYIZach Parise · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:42NYIRobin Salo · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:32NJDDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

3rd

  • 11:28NJDDawson Mercer · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 11:28NYIMathew Barzal · Roughingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
  • 19:06NYIZach Parise · High stickingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNJD goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Parise, 2nd 16:33 — NYI 48% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.90A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.53B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.50A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.26M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.19J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.18A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.16B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.15N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.14J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.11J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.10K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.10J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.09A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08R. Salo · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05R. Salo · On goal · xG 0.04C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Greene · Goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.02K. Bellows · Missed · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Salo · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.01R. Salo · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI4 G · 4.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYI
2.52 G
All situations
4 G4.7
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD49%51%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYI
32
Shots on goal
29
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/3
Power play
1/2
13
Penalty minutes
25
15
Hits
21
12
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
22
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000020.07110—26:00
86J. HughesC101-130.320002025:17
7D. HamiltonD000-130.14012—23:19
71J. SiegenthalerD011+110.03010—22:16
37P. ZachaC011-120.422103121:34
24T. SmithD000-130.09000—20:16
63J. BrattL101020.22010—19:35
18D. MercerC000020.250321519:03
17Y. SharangovichC000020.140005018:37
11A. JohnssonL000+140.45100—18:24
76P. SubbanD000020.04110—18:02
90T. TatarL000-110.13002—14:26
70J. BoqvistC000-110.040002911:28
59J. KuokkanenC000-100.00100010:52
20M. McLeodC000010.042207310:21
83C. JarosD000010.02300—08:36
16J. VeseyL000020.07110—08:33
55M. GeertsenL000000.00307—02:51
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Schmid(L)29254.8622.52-1.4856:23

Season series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).