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Predators at Golden Knights
NHL

Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Vegas Golden Knights
▸6
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, BSSO·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Nashville Predators 6-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicolas Roy's goal at 13:45 of the first period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.9 to 2.8; shots on goal were NSH 36, VGK 50. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 44 of 50 (.880), 2.1 goals below expected; Logan Thompson stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Eichel (1 G, 1 A), 2. Evgenii Dadonov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Chandler Stephenson (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Eichel1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    E. Dadonov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    C. Stephenson1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH09114013136
VGKVGK215220215650

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    M. Janmark(9)
    A. Pietrangelo (26), C. Stephenson (32)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:31
  2. VGK
    N. Roy(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:45

2nd period

  1. VGK
    E. Dadonov(16)PPG
    J. Marchessault (24), C. Stephenson (33)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    3:14
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(36)PPG
    R. Josi (61), R. Johansen (32)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    5:00
  3. VGK
    J. Eichel(6)PPG
    J. Marchessault (25), E. Dadonov (13)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    8:41

3rd period

  1. VGK
    C. Stephenson(16)PPG
    J. Eichel (7), J. Marchessault (26)
    snapxG 0.13
    1-5
    14:42
  2. VGK
    A. Pietrangelo(11)
    N. Roy (18), E. Dadonov (14)
    tip-inxG 0.11
    1-6
    17:07

Penalties

NSH 17 PIM·VGK 13 PIM

2nd

  • 2:52NSHAlexandre Carrier · Holdingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 4:01VGKKeegan Kolesar · Holdingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 5:28NSHColton Sissons · Interferencedrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 7:25NSHBen Harpur · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 13:36VGKWilliam Carrier · Interferencedrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min

3rd

  • 6:20NSHRoman Josi · Trippingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 12:41NSHMattias Ekholm · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 12:41VGKMattias Janmark · Slashingdrawn by Juuse Saros2 min
  • 14:10NSHMatt Tennyson · High stickingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
  • 18:37VGKMattias Janmark · Fightingdrawn by Nick Cousins5 min
  • 18:37NSHNick Cousins · Fightingdrawn by Mattias Janmark5 min
  • 18:37VGKMattias Janmark · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalNSH goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Nicolas Roy, 1st 13:45 — VGK 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.35C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.27E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.25W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.17N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.14C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.13E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.12A. Pietrangelo · Goal · xG 0.11A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.10N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.10J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.09J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.09W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.09N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.08N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.07J. Leschyshyn · On goal · xG 0.07W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.06M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.06W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.06N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.05W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05J. Leschyshyn · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Leschyshyn · On goal · xG 0.03D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03D. Miromanov · Missed · xG 0.03N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.03W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.02D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02D. Miromanov · Missed · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Miromanov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK6 G · 3.9 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsVGK
2.81 G
All situations
6 G3.9
1.90 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.91 G
Power play
3 G1.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 114 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH33%67%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 3.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsVGK
36
Shots on goal
50
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
3/5
17
Penalty minutes
13
46
Hits
29
26
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
5
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011060.13152—25:26
14M. EkholmD000-240.14222—24:30
45A. CarrierD000030.19432—23:30
3J. LauzonD000-230.13710—18:59
95M. DucheneC000-210.050005018:35
64M. GranlundC000-120.254305618:33
9F. ForsbergL101-250.74340—17:56
10C. SissonsC000000.013126016:30
13Y. TreninC000010.10300015:32
92R. JohansenC011-200.001205014:43
47M. McCarronC000010.063103314:02
26P. TomasinoR000-130.20110—13:31
11L. KuninC000030.50200012:46
28E. TolvanenR000-100.00420—12:14
7M. TennysonD000-100.00212—12:14
17B. HarpurD000-100.00302—11:51
21N. CousinsC000030.2410510010:30
24M. LuffR000010.03200—10:28
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)50446.8803.94-2.0660:00

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).