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Golden Knights at Predators
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸5
Nashville Predators
2
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Nashville Predators 5-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonas Rondbjerg's goal at 3:01 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were VGK 35, NSH 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Chandler Stephenson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Filip Forsberg (2 G), 3. Alex Pietrangelo (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    C. Stephenson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    A. Pietrangelo1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK111213211535
NSHNSH0901029228

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    C. Stephenson(7)
    M. Stone (7)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    19:12

2nd period

  1. VGK
    J. Rondbjerg(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    3:01
  2. VGK
    A. Brooks(1)
    K. Kolesar (6), M. Janmark (3)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    11:12

3rd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(5)
    M. Duchene (8)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +6 pts
    3-1
    5:20
  2. VGK
    A. Pietrangelo(4)SHG
    C. Stephenson (12)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    8:04
  3. NSH
    F. Forsberg(6)PPG
    R. Josi (12), R. Johansen (8)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    4-2
    13:51
  4. VGK
    M. Stone(1)EN
    M. Pacioretty (2)
    wristxG 0.63win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    18:08

Penalties

VGK 12 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:25NSHNick Cousins · Slashingdrawn by Shea Theodore2 min
  • 16:49VGKMax Pacioretty · Hookingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min

2nd

  • 8:09VGKMark Stone · Slashingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 14:02VGKZach Whitecloud · Cross checkingdrawn by Tommy Novak2 min
  • 18:20NSHMatt Benning · Slashingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min

3rd

  • 1:35VGKJonas Rondbjerg · Trippingdrawn by Philip Tomasino2 min
  • 7:26VGKNicolas Roy · Trippingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 13:45VGKShea Theodore · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalVGK goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Jonas Rondbjerg, 2nd 3:01 — VGK 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.24N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.19T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.13T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.11F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.10M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.10M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.10N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.10M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.09L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.08E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.08M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.08E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.07T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.06E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.06M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.05N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.02A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH2 G · 2.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsNSH
3.44 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.23 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK54%46%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsNSH
35
Shots on goal
28
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
6
Hits
23
18
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
13
13
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3B. McNabbD000+120.05020—22:53
7A. PietrangeloD101010.08130—21:42
27S. TheodoreD000020.12022—19:26
2Z. WhitecloudD000+420.09132—19:06
14N. HagueD000020.03000—18:41
20C. StephensonC112+250.561204318:28
61M. StoneR112+251.23012—17:57
67M. PaciorettyL011+130.221025017:13
19R. SmithR000040.14100—16:27
10N. RoyC000030.150024416:20
17B. HuttonD000+300.00020—15:46
15J. LeschyshynC000+110.090106714:14
26M. JanmarkC011+100.00000014:11
63E. DadonovL000010.07000—13:43
46J. RondbjergR101+110.19002—13:03
55K. KolesarR011+100.041102510:52
24A. BrooksC101+120.280105010:08
28W. CarrierL000+110.09000—09:44
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90R. Lehner(W)28262.9292.54+0.5460:00

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).