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Predators at Golden Knights
NHL

Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸3
Vegas Golden Knights
2
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, BSSO·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yakov Trenin's goal at 7:01 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.3 to 2.4; shots on goal were NSH 26, VGK 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 41 of 43 (.953), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (2 G), 2. William Karlsson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Juuse Saros (41 saves, .953).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Saros41 saves, .953

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH01021115326
VGKVGK08014221243

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(16)
    M. Granlund (25), M. Ekholm (9)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    2:41
  2. NSH
    Y. Trenin(7)
    P. Myers (1)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    7:01

3rd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(17)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +6 pts
    3-0
    6:08
  2. VGK
    W. Karlsson(4)
    B. McNabb (7), E. Dadonov (7)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +3 pts
    3-1
    12:01
  3. VGK
    S. Theodore(7)
    A. Pietrangelo (18), W. Karlsson (6)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    3-2
    18:14

Penalties

NSH 13 PIM·VGK 11 PIM

1st

  • 8:49VGKWilliam Karlsson · Trippingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 14:39NSHTanner Jeannot · Fightingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar5 min
  • 14:39VGKKeegan Kolesar · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot5 min

2nd

  • 9:02NSHRoman Josi · Slashingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 17:41NSHNick Cousins · Cross checkingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 17:41VGKEvgenii Dadonov · Embellishmentdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

3rd

  • 7:06NSHMattias Ekholm · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:25VGKJonathan Marchessault · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
  • 8:21NSHRoman Josi · High stickingdrawn by Dylan Coghlan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalNSH goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Yakov Trenin, 2nd 7:01 — NSH 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.27N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.22S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.15N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.14W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.14A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.13R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.11J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.11N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.10B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.10A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.10E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.10C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.09S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.09R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.06R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.05S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.05D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.04D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.04B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.04B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.04D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.03C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 3.3 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsVGK
2.43 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.93 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G1.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH28%72%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsVGK
26
Shots on goal
43
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
11
55
Hits
34
21
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD011010.51502—25:19
5M. BenningD000+120.08130—23:39
59R. JosiD000030.11134—22:32
45A. CarrierD000-110.05010—21:49
64M. GranlundC011+130.041204221:25
92R. JohansenC000010.140003817:48
95M. DucheneC000+100.0711010016:50
84T. JeannotL000010.04755—15:45
9F. ForsbergL202+140.54500—15:29
28E. TolvanenR000-120.10510—15:29
11L. KuninC000020.1671010014:53
10C. SissonsC000000.002104314:20
13Y. TreninC101+130.32300013:45
90M. BorowieckiD000+100.02620—13:24
55P. MyersD011+100.00300—13:10
21N. CousinsC000020.16112010:07
47M. McCarronC000000.004005008:28
24M. LuffR000010.02300—07:48
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)43412.9533.31+1.3160:00

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).