Skip to content
Predators at Ducks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸6
Anaheim Ducks
3
FinalTV BSSO, BSSD·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Forsberg's goal at 1:45 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 4.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were NSH 31, ANA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 25 of 28 (.893); John Gibson stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Duchene (2 G, 1 A), 2. Filip Forsberg (2 G, 3 A), 3. Derek Grant (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    M. Duchene2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    D. Grant2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH11011249631
ANAANA11011019329

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    D. Grant(10)
    J. Drysdale (23), T. Zegras (29)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    9:18
  2. NSH
    R. Josi(18)
    P. Tomasino (15), N. Cousins (11)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:48

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Johansen(17)PPG
    F. Forsberg (26), M. Granlund (38)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +8 pts
    2-1
    3:02
  2. ANA
    T. Terry(30)
    K. Shattenkirk (21), T. Zegras (30)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    11:26

3rd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(34)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.30win prob +25 pts
    3-2
    1:45
  2. NSH
    M. Duchene(33)PPG
    F. Forsberg (27), M. Granlund (39)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    4-2
    3:08
  3. ANA
    D. Grant(11)
    K. Shattenkirk (22), C. Fowler (27)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +14 pts
    4-3
    10:13
  4. NSH
    M. Duchene(34)PPG
    F. Forsberg (28), R. Josi (59)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    5-3
    11:23
  5. NSH
    F. Forsberg(35)EN
    R. Johansen (30), M. Duchene (32)
    tip-inxG 0.86win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    17:57

Penalties

NSH 20 PIM·ANA 22 PIM

1st

  • 3:50NSHMark Borowiecki · Slashingdrawn by Gerry Mayhew2 min
  • 6:11ANASam Carrick · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot5 min
  • 6:11NSHTanner Jeannot · Fightingdrawn by Sam Carrick5 min

2nd

  • 2:49ANAMaxime Comtois · High sticking double minordrawn by Nick Cousins4 min
  • 16:05NSHMark Borowiecki · Interferencedrawn by Gerry Mayhew2 min
  • 16:05ANAAndrej Sustr · Roughingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
  • 16:05NSHMark Borowiecki · Roughingdrawn by Andrej Sustr2 min

3rd

  • 2:29ANAVinni Lettieri · High stickingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 4:33NSHMikael Granlund · Slashingdrawn by Gerry Mayhew2 min
  • 7:55NSHJeremy Lauzon · Holdingdrawn by Gerry Mayhew2 min
  • 11:01ANAGerry Mayhew · Trippingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 12:38ANAKevin Shattenkirk · Roughingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 18:50ANASam Carrick · Fightingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki5 min
  • 18:50NSHMark Borowiecki · Fightingdrawn by Sam Carrick5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalNSH goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Filip Forsberg, 3rd 1:45 — NSH 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Grant · Goal · xG 0.28D. Grant · Goal · xG 0.25T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.16D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.13T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.12G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.11J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.11C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.10S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.09K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.08S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.07M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.07T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.07T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.06M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.05I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.05S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.05K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.04J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.04D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.04S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.04D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.04T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.03V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.02V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.02V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.02S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.02B. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.01S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.01A. Sustr · On goal · xG 0.01M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.00B. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.00G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.7 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsANA
4.05 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.92 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
1.13 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH57%43%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.09 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsANA
31
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
3/5
Power play
0/4
20
Penalty minutes
22
25
Hits
20
16
Blocked shots
8
8
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD112050.33030—27:53
45A. CarrierD000040.29010—21:32
57D. FabbroD000-110.06010—18:55
72J. LauzonD000000.02422—18:12
64M. GranlundC022000.111024318:05
84T. JeannotL000-210.08425—16:56
9F. ForsbergL235+151.66010—16:35
10C. SissonsC000-240.140007116:20
95M. DucheneC213+130.5700010016:11
92R. JohansenC112+110.190003815:33
7M. TennysonD000000.04100—15:29
13Y. TreninC000-130.05400013:57
90M. BorowieckiD000000.003311—13:57
21N. CousinsC011+110.13100013:55
47M. McCarronC000+120.133206013:44
28E. TolvanenR000000.06100—12:27
26P. TomasinoR011+110.11000—11:54
11L. KuninC000000.00310010:59
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)28253.8932.66-0.3458:42
33D. Rittich1101.0000.04+0.0400:44

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).