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Ducks at Predators
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Nashville Predators
▸3
FinalTV BSSO, BSSD·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yakov Trenin's goal at 12:10 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 86%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.2, NSH 2.3; shots on goal were ANA 31, NSH 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. John Gibson stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.7 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Ryan Johansen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Yakov Trenin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mikael Granlund (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Johansen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    Y. Trenin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Granlund1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA0917115231
NSHNSH110114111335

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Johansen(6)
    Y. Trenin (3), T. Jeannot (4)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    12:34

2nd period

  1. ANA
    R. Rakell(5)
    T. Zegras (5), S. Milano (7)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:47
  2. NSH
    M. Granlund(4)PPG
    R. Johansen (7)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    15:20

3rd period

  1. ANA
    J. Drysdale(2)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    3:47
  2. NSH
    Y. Trenin(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +34 pts
    2-3
    12:10

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:50ANACam Fowler · High stickingdrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min
  • 9:49ANAJosh Mahura · Interferencedrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min

2nd

  • 0:31NSHTanner Jeannot · Trippingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
  • 1:44ANATrevor Zegras · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 13:28ANATrevor Zegras · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min

3rd

  • 15:13NSHRoman Josi · Interferencedrawn by Troy Terry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalANA goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Yakov Trenin, 3rd 12:10 — NSH 52% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.16E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.14M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.14R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.14N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.11R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.10M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.08M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.08L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.08R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.06T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Trenin · Goal · xG 0.06M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.06E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.06P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.04P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.04C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.04T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 2.3 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsNSH
2.22 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.40 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA49%51%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsNSH
31
Shots on goal
35
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
7
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
15
4
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
15R. GetzlafC000010.113006123:37
4C. FowlerD000000.01022—22:42
42J. MansonD000010.15200—22:04
47H. LindholmD000+230.18020—21:01
22K. ShattenkirkD000-200.04000—19:30
19T. TerryR000-110.32000—19:10
67R. RakellR101050.3101010018:54
34J. DrysdaleD101+260.23010—18:41
33J. SilfverbergR000000.00020—18:21
46T. ZegrasC011020.191044316:12
21I. LundestromC000020.100105016:10
12S. MilanoL011+120.21000—13:09
76J. MahuraD000-200.01002—12:50
23S. SteelC000+110.060001712:34
20N. DeslauriersL000020.06100—12:09
38D. GrantC000030.090202511:06
39S. CarrickC000010.01000009:31
14A. HenriqueC000-110.15000006:20
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)35323.9142.27-0.7358:07

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).