Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Dumba's goal at 5:46 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 79% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were VGK 28, MIN 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Cam Talbot stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nicolas Deslauriers (1 G), 2. Cam Talbot (28 saves, 1.000), 3. Mathew Dumba (1 G).
Three stars
- ★N. Deslauriers1 G

- ★★C. Talbot28 saves, 1.000

- ★★★M. Dumba1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-15:43
3rd period
0-25:46
0-319:53
Penalties
1st
- 10:38
Jonathan Marchessault · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
- 10:38
Mathew Dumba · Roughingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
- 11:49
Alex Goligoski · Slashingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
2nd
- 11:43
Nicolas Roy · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
3rd
- 0:59
Jonas Brodin · High stickingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
- 8:35
Brett Howden · Cross checkingdrawn by Jon Merrill2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mathew Dumba, 3rd 5:46 — 79% → 94%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.80 G
- All situations
- 2 G4.0
- 1.30 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.7
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.82 – 2.19
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 58%
- Faceoffs
- 42%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 32
- Hits
- 34
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 8
- Giveaways
- 6
- 5
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
