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Wild at Golden Knights
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
4
Vegas Golden Knights
▸6
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, BSN·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Minnesota Wild 6-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Golden Knights led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Foligno's goal at 1:22 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 24% to 48%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.7 to 3.5; shots on goal were MIN 27, VGK 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected; Robin Lehner stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Whitecloud (2 G), 2. Chandler Stephenson (4 A), 3. Max Pacioretty (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    Z. Whitecloud2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    C. Stephenson4 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Pacioretty1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN2811316427
VGKVGK21421527636

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    Z. Whitecloud(4)
    M. Pacioretty (6), C. Stephenson (14)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:53
  2. MIN
    N. Sturm(5)
    A. Goligoski (16), B. Duhaime (7)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:54
  3. VGK
    E. Dadonov(8)PPG
    M. Stone (14), C. Stephenson (15)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    17:15
  4. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(8)PPG
    J. Spurgeon (6), R. Hartman (10)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    2-2
    19:59

2nd period

  1. MIN
    N. Bjugstad(4)
    M. Dumba (12), J. Merrill (8)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    0:09
  2. VGK
    Z. Whitecloud(5)
    E. Dadonov (6)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    5:46
  3. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(10)
    C. Stephenson (16), M. Stone (15)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +20 pts
    3-4
    13:52

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Foligno(13)
    J. Spurgeon (7), J. Eriksson Ek (9)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +24 pts
    4-4
    1:22
  2. VGK
    M. Stone(4)PPG
    M. Pacioretty (7), C. Stephenson (17)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +20 pts
    4-5
    4:42
  3. VGK
    A. Pietrangelo(5)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.36win prob +5 pts
    4-6
    19:32

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·VGK 14 PIM

1st

  • 1:17MINJared Spurgeon · Trippingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
  • 4:58VGKJonathan Marchessault · Roughingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 16:39MINMathew Dumba · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:21VGKEvgenii Dadonov · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

2nd

  • 13:52VGKNicolas Hague · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 13:52MINRyan Hartman · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min
  • 13:52VGKNicolas Hague · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 14:35VGKAlex Pietrangelo · Slashingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 16:41VGKZach Whitecloud · Slashingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

3rd

  • 4:33MINJordie Benn · Holdingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
  • 5:40MINAlex Goligoski · Trippingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 10:04VGKNicolas Hague · Interferencedrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalMIN goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Marcus Foligno, 3rd 1:22 — MIN 24% → 48%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.66A. Pietrangelo · Goal · xG 0.36Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.26Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.23M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.22N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.21N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.20M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.18E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.18M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.17W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.16J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.15M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.15W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.13W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.12M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.12M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.10M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.10N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.09N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.09M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.07R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Whitecloud · Goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.04C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.04M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.03R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.03B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · Goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK6 G · 4.7 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVGK
3.54 G
All situations
5 G4.7
1.83 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
1.71 G
Power play
2 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN48%52%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.42 – 3.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVGK
27
Shots on goal
36
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/6
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
14
31
Hits
16
8
Blocked shots
23
4
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
36M. ZuccarelloR101-330.33100—22:54
24M. DumbaD011010.02202—21:44
46J. SpurgeonD022030.11112—21:29
97K. KaprizovL000-160.72200—21:22
47A. GoligoskiD011000.00112—20:19
14J. Eriksson EkC011+140.423004719:41
4J. MerrillD011000.00210—19:17
38R. HartmanR011-320.542126018:48
18J. GreenwayL000010.136005016:15
22K. FialaL000-100.11000—15:30
8J. BennD000-100.00102—15:21
17M. FolignoL101+110.48310—15:20
29D. KulikovD000-100.00120—15:12
7N. SturmC101+210.113105612:04
89F. GaudreauC000-200.000002011:41
21B. DuhaimeL011+200.00200—10:27
49V. RaskC000-110.100006710:09
27N. BjugstadC101+240.411008809:45
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)35305.8573.72-1.2857:57

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).