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Wild at Golden Knights
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, BSN·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Minnesota Wild 3-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonas Rondbjerg's goal at 16:41 of the first period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.8, VGK 2.9; shots on goal were MIN 26, VGK 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.6 goals below expected; Laurent Brossoit stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonas Rondbjerg (1 G, 1 A), 2. Paul Cotter (1 G), 3. Laurent Brossoit (24 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Rondbjerg1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    P. Cotter1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    L. Brossoit24 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0501427226
VGKVGK21619010335

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    P. Cotter(1)
    N. Hague (5), J. Rondbjerg (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:08
  2. VGK
    J. Rondbjerg(1)
    B. Howden (1), B. McNabb (4)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    16:41

2nd period

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(7)
    R. Smith (5)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    19:53

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(3)
    K. Kaprizov (8), F. Gaudreau (4)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    1:20
  2. MIN
    R. Hartman(7)
    J. Merrill (5), D. Kulikov (5)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    2-3
    13:35

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·VGK 12 PIM

1st

  • 13:38VGKPaul Cotter · Slashingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min

2nd

  • 1:49MINAlex Goligoski · Trippingdrawn by Jake Leschyshyn2 min
  • 5:07MINFrederick Gaudreau · Delaying game2 min
  • 11:05VGKShea Theodore · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 12:52VGKNicolas Hague · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:13VGKAlex Pietrangelo · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 2:33VGKBrett Howden · Delaying game face off violation2 min
  • 18:57VGKJonathan Marchessault · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalMIN goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Jonas Rondbjerg, 1st 16:41 — VGK 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.51J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.20E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.20C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.17C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.14R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.14M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.13K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.13M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.12N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.10M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.09P. Cotter · Goal · xG 0.09J. Rondbjerg · Goal · xG 0.09N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.08E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.08E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Leschyshyn · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.06M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.03J. Leschyshyn · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Leschyshyn · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.00S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.00C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Leschyshyn · On goal · xG 0.00R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 2.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVGK
2.82 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.42 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN56%44%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVGK
26
Shots on goal
35
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/6
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
12
29
Hits
23
18
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
36M. ZuccarelloR000+140.14020—23:03
97K. KaprizovL011+120.67100—22:59
46J. SpurgeonD101030.30300—22:26
24M. DumbaD000-210.07030—20:46
22K. FialaL000-230.3500010019:51
25J. BrodinD000-100.00120—19:22
14J. Eriksson EkC000-230.392105219:19
89F. GaudreauC011+110.210325618:44
47A. GoligoskiD000020.03202—18:42
17M. FolignoL000-230.22410—16:41
4J. MerrillD011+100.00010—16:37
29D. KulikovD011010.14500—16:18
38R. HartmanR101+130.291305715:09
21B. DuhaimeL000000.01600—11:45
7N. SturmC000000.000003310:59
18J. GreenwayL000-100.00310—10:04
27N. BjugstadC000000.001105008:49
16R. PitlickC000000.00000007:16
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)35323.9142.43-0.5757:10

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).