Skip to content

Winnipeg Jets at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZ, TSN3·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Utah Mammoth 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Coyotes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 5:34 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 48% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.8 to 3.3; shots on goal were WPG 38, ARI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Scott Wedgewood stopped 33 of 37 (.892). Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (2 G), 2. Evgeny Svechnikov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Barrett Hayton (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    E. Svechnikov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    B. Hayton1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG210011317538
ARIARI2916014329

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:39
  2. ARI
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:16
  3. WPG
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    10:59
  4. ARI
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    16:40

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +20 pts
    2-3
    13:56

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +25 pts
    3-3
    3:17
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.16win prob +28 pts
    4-3
    5:34
  3. WPG
    K. Connor(32)EN
    wristxG 0.62win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    18:52

Penalties

WPG 2 PIM·ARI 2 PIM

2nd

  • 16:50WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Cross checkingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
  • 16:50ARIJakob Chychrun · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

3rd

  • 7:37ARIVladislav Kolyachonok · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Mark Scheifele0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalWPG goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 3rd 5:34 — WPG 48% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.29L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.27B. Hayton · Goal · xG 0.21R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.20L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.16C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.11L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.10N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.10J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.09J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.09A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.09P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.09A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.09P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.09B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.07R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.06V. Kolyachonok · On goal · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.05A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.05A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.04D. Mayo · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.03N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mayo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01D. Mayo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mayo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.00
ARI3 G · 3.3 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsARI
4.84 G
All situations
3 G3.3
3.84 G
Even strength
3 G3.1
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG63%37%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.12 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsARI
38
Shots on goal
29
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/0
Power play
0/0
2
Penalty minutes
2
26
Hits
27
17
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
22
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000+130.18220—23:23
55M. ScheifeleC000+130.470103622:11
4N. PionkD011+110.03420—21:57
5B. DillonD000+110.05320—21:39
26B. WheelerR101+130.50010—21:31
2D. DeMeloD000020.05510—21:10
81K. ConnorL202+351.34010—20:03
25P. StastnyC011+130.172104419:29
80P. DuboisC022+260.771025817:52
88N. SchmidtD011010.03020—16:40
28N. BeaulieuD022+120.12400—15:25
71E. SvechnikovL112+220.27110—15:10
17A. LowryC101-140.443106212:11
12J. HarkinsC000-200.0001010010:54
21D. ToninatoC000010.13000010:15
93K. VesalainenL000010.06100—10:00
22A. PoganskiR000-100.00010—09:41
77A. BrooksC000000.14000008:29
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(W)29263.8973.32+0.3260:00

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).