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Winnipeg Jets at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZ+, TSN3·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Utah Mammoth 3-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre-Luc Dubois's goal at 14:40 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 70% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 5.3 to 2.4; shots on goal were WPG 49, ARI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 46 of 48 (.958), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeny Svechnikov (1 G), 2. Karel Vejmelka (46 saves, .958), 3. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    E. Svechnikov1 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    K. Vejmelka46 saves, .958
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    P. Dubois1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG110118121349
ARIARI07010110127

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    17:34

2nd period

  1. WPG
    P. Dubois(15)PPG
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    14:40

3rd period

  1. ARI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    6:41
  2. WPG
    N. Ehlers(13)EN
    wristxG 0.38win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    19:15

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·ARI 10 PIM

1st

  • 18:04WPGBrenden Dillon · Interferencedrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min

2nd

  • 0:48ARIJohan Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 7:32WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 12:40ARIIlya Lyubushkin · Hookingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min
  • 19:33ARIShayne Gostisbehere · Cross checkingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min

3rd

  • 8:49ARIPhil Kessel · Slashingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
  • 10:48WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min
  • 10:48ARIIlya Lyubushkin · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalWPG goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Pierre-Luc Dubois, 2nd 14:40 — WPG 70% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.18N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.16A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.15A. Ladd · Missed · xG 0.13P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.12T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.11L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.11J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.10L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.10B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.07L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.07C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.06I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.03J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.02T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mayo · Missed · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.00C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.00A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.00
ARI1 G · 2.4 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsARI
5.32 G
All situations
1 G2.4
2.71 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
2.21 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG84%16%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.78 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsARI
49
Shots on goal
27
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
11
10
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD000+120.06110—23:19
81K. ConnorL011-150.29000—23:17
9A. CoppC000061.021105721:49
55M. ScheifeleC022+130.350007821:49
44J. MorrisseyD011+130.21230—20:57
80P. DuboisC101-151.011125519:22
5B. DillonD011+110.02412—18:32
88N. SchmidtD000-120.16110—18:28
27N. EhlersL101+160.73100—17:21
17A. LowryC000030.461105017:02
25P. StastnyC000+100.160103316:45
64L. StanleyD000-130.07010—16:30
2D. DeMeloD000+120.03422—16:06
12J. HarkinsC000-110.01110012:23
87K. ReichelC000020.23000010:12
71E. SvechnikovL101+140.48110—07:37
93K. VesalainenL011+100.00000—07:31
21D. ToninatoC000+110.00300007:00
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)27261.9632.36+1.3660:00

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).