Winnipeg Jets at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe Winnipeg Jets beat the Utah Mammoth 3-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre-Luc Dubois's goal at 14:40 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 70% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 5.3 to 2.4; shots on goal were WPG 49, ARI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 46 of 48 (.958), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeny Svechnikov (1 G), 2. Karel Vejmelka (46 saves, .958), 3. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G).
Three stars
- ★E. Svechnikov1 G

- ★★K. Vejmelka46 saves, .958

- ★★★P. Dubois1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-017:34
2nd period
2-014:40
3rd period
2-16:41
3-119:15
Penalties
1st
- 18:04
Brenden Dillon · Interferencedrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
2nd
- 0:48
Johan Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
- 7:32
Dylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
- 12:40
Ilya Lyubushkin · Hookingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min
- 19:33
Shayne Gostisbehere · Cross checkingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
3rd
- 8:49
Phil Kessel · Slashingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
- 10:48
Pierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min
- 10:48
Ilya Lyubushkin · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Pierre-Luc Dubois, 2nd 14:40 — 70% → 86%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 5.32 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.4
- 2.71 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.8
- 2.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.78 – 2.32
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 49
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 21
- Hits
- 20
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 14
- Giveaways
- 11
- 10
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
WPG leads 3-1
1@
0Final
3@
1this game
5@
3Final
1@
2OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
